Indianapolis Colts (6-7) vs. Denver Broncos (8-5)
December 15, 2024 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Broncos -4; Over/Under: +45
(Get latest betting odds)
The Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos meet Sunday in week 15 NFL action at Empower Field at Mile High. Here’s a Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction. This article will include a Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts Pick.
Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview
The Indianapolis Colts lost to the Lions, beat the Patriots, and they play the Titans next. The Indianapolis Colts have split their last 6 road games. Anthony Richardson is completing 47.4 percent of his passes for 1,511 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Alec Pierce and Josh Downs have combined for 1,239 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Michael Pittman Jr. has 46 receptions.
The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 118.8 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 804 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 22.9 points and 379.4 yards per game. Zaire Franklin leads the Indianapolis Colts with 135 tackles, Kwity Paye has 6 sacks and Jaylon Jones has 2 interceptions.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos beat the Browns and Raiders, and they play the Chargers next. The Denver Broncos have won 3 straight home games. Bo Nix is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 2,842 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Courtland Sutton and Devaughn Vele have combined for 1,223 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Lil’Jordan Humphrey has 29 receptions.
The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 111.2 yards per contest, and Javonte Williams leads the way with 446 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 18 points and 315.7 yards per game. Brandon Jones leads the Denver Broncos with 82 tackles, Nik Bonitto has 11 sacks and Pat Surtain II has 3 interceptions.
Why the Denver Broncos will win
- The favorites have won each of the Broncos’ last nine games.
- The Colts have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Colts have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Broncos have won the first half in each of their last seven games as home favorites.
- The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Colts have won the first quarter in six of their last eight games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Javonte Williams has scored the first touchdown in three of the Broncos’ last four December games against AFC opponents.
- Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with the Broncos as favorites against AFC opponents.
- Bo Nix has recorded 273+ passing yards in each of the Broncos’ last four games as favorites.
- Courtland Sutton has recorded 70+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last six games.
- Javonte Williams has scored a touchdown in three of the Broncos’ last four December games against AFC opponents.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of the Broncos’ last eight games as favorites.
- Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Broncos’ last five Sunday games.
- Bo Nix has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Broncos’ last two Sunday home games.
- Heading into Week 15, Nik Bonitto is the only player in the NFL to record 10+ sacks and an interception this season.
Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts
- Jonathan Taylor has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four December road appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in five of his last six December appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor has recorded 95+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his eight previous December appearances against AFC opponents.
- Josh Downs has recorded 66+ receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of his eight previous December appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor has recorded 83+ rushing yards in seven of his eight previous December appearances against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 15, Alec Pierce ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 15, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in sacks (47.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (7.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Colts rank T1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (16) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Colts rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (9.1) this season.
Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction
The Indianapolis Colts are limited offensively due to Richardson and no threat of a passing attack, and that’s a concern going up against a Broncos defense that’s top-10 in total defense and scoring defense. The Broncos have allowed 19 or fewer points in 9 of their last 10 games. Also, the Broncos are 10-3 ATS on the season, which is tied with the Steelers for the best cover team in the NFL. The Broncos are 7-0 SU and ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Broncos are winning by an average of 17.3 points this season as a favorite. I’ll lay the points with the Broncos.
