Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction 11-3-24 NFL Picks

The Dallas Cowboys and the Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in NFL action from Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Here’s an Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Falcons vs Cowboys pick.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Cowboys got off to a middling 3-2 start this year, losing to the Saints and Ravens amid wins over the Browns, Giants and Steelers. Dallas would fall back to .500 on the season with a 47-9 blowout loss at home to the Lions in game six.

The Cowboys’ skid continued last weekend on the road versus the 49ers. Dallas was up 10-6 at the break, then gave up 21 unanswered third-quarter points in an eventual 30-24 loss. QB Dak Prescott posted 243 yards with two TDs and two interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott ran 10 times for 34 yards and a TD.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

Over on the Falcons’ side, they managed a 2-2 start with wins over the Eagles and Saints mixed with losses to the Steelers and Chiefs. Atlanta won the next pair over the Buccaneers (OT) and Panthers before another loss 34-14 versus the Seahawks.

The Falcons were able to improve to 5-3 with another victory over the Buccaneers last weekend. Atlanta scored 17 points in the second quarter alone and ultimately powered out a 31-26 result. Kirk Cousins threw for 276 yards and four scores. Darnell Mooney caught five balls for 92 yards and a TD.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cowboys’ last six road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Falcons’ last nine home games against NFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the last five Sunday games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Bijan Robinson has recorded 105+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Falcons’ last six Sunday games as favorites.
• Tyler Allgeier has recorded 39+ rushing yards in 12 of the Falcons’ last 14 home games against NFC opponents.
• Kyle Pitts has recorded 51+ receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last five games as favorites following a win.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 265+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC East opponents.
• Drake London has scored a touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last four games following a win.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
• Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last nine November appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Heading into Week 9, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most completions in a single game this season (42 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Dak Prescott has recorded 253+ passing yards in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games following a road loss.
• Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his 10 previous November appearances with his team as an underdog.
• CeeDee Lamb has scored the first touchdown in four of the Cowboys’ last five games following a road loss.
• CeeDee Lamb has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of the Cowboys’ last 11 regular season games against NFC opponents.
• Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 47+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 12 previous November road appearances.
• Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of his 16 previous regular season appearances with the Cowboys as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 12 November appearances against NFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Cowboys’ last four road games against NFC South opponents.
• Jourdan Lewis is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction

I’m staying with Atlanta. The Falcons posted a gutsy win over the Bucs in their last outing, but things got pretty tight near the end. Atlanta gave up 432 yards (330 passing) and 24 first downs but also generated three takeaways. The offense notched 394 yards and went 6-of-12 on third downs for their part.

As for Dallas, they gave up 469 yards (223 rushing), 7.3 yards per play and 8-of-16 on third downs to the 49ers in their last appearance. The Cowboys went just 4-of-12 on third downs themselves and had only 56 rush yards in a pretty rough offensive outing. This matchups not going to get any easier, and I like the Falcons to power out the cover in the end.