LA Chargers (7-3) vs. Atlanta Falcons (6-5)
December 1, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Falcons +1.5; Over/Under: 46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Los Angeles Chargers and the Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in NFL action from Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Here’s an Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Falcons vs Chargers pick.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview
The Chargers hit a 3-3 run over their first six games this year, falling to the Steelers, Chiefs, and Cardinals during that stretch. Los Angeles fared better in the next four with wins over the Saints, Browns, Titans, and Bengals in succession.
In their Monday matchup with the Ravens, the Chargers went into the fourth quarter down 17-16 and eventually lost 30-23 after giving up 13 more points. Justin Herbert threw for 218 yards and had a rush score. Ladd McConkey led the receivers on six grabs for 83 yards.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
Over on the Falcons’ side, they opened the season on a 4-3 run with victories over the Eagles, Saints, Buccaneers, and Panthers. Atlanta would then take wins over the Buccaneers and Cowboys before a pair of losses to the Saints and Broncos.
In their latest outing versus Denver on November 17, the Falcons were outscored 21-6 by halftime. Atlanta couldn’t find the scoreboard in the second half and lost 38-6. Kirk Cousins threw for 173 yards, no scores, and a pick. Lead receiver Drake London had three catches for 61 yards.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Falcons’ last 10 games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Chargers’ last six Sunday games played on the East Coast has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the last six Sunday games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 32+ receiving yards in seven of the Falcons’ last eight Sunday home games.
- Tyler Allgeier has recorded 32+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last 10 games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
- Tyler Allgeier has recorded 32+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last 10 games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 276+ passing yards in four of his last five December appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Drake London has scored a touchdown in four of the Falcons’ last five home games.
- Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last five December appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Heading into Week 13, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most completions in a single game this season (42 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Gus Edwards has recorded 36+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances on the East Coast.
- Gus Edwards has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last nine road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 279+ passing yards in four of the Chargers’ last five games as favorites.
- J.K. Dobbins has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Josh Palmer has recorded 36+ receiving yards in seven of the Chargers’ last eight games.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 22+ completions in each of his six previous December road appearances.
- Justin Herbert has thrown two or more touchdowns in nine of the Chargers’ last 10 games against NFC opponents.
- Asante Samuel Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
I’ll take a stab at the Falcons here. Atlanta has had plenty of time to mull over their disastrous blowout loss to the Broncos, and hopefully, the extra prep will do them some good here. The Falcons posted just 226 total yards in that loss (176 passing) with 13 first downs and only 4.0 yards per play. Atlanta has been at 17 or fewer points in three of their last five games. They’ll certainly need to eclipse that total in order to stand a chance here.
As for the Chargers, on Monday they had a hard time getting off the field at crucial moments. Los Angeles gave up 11-of-18 on the Ravens’ third- and fourth down attempts. The Chargers’ own offense was pretty ineffective overall, with 4.8 yards per play and a 5-of-14 success rate on third downs. LA had been scoring pretty consistently during their win streak: 26 or more points in all four games. The good news is that a total in the mid-20s might do it here. That said, I like the Falcons to follow right along for a cover/win. I’d like to see a slightly more favorable line, though.
