Buccaneers vs Eagles Prediction 9/28/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Buccaneers vs Eagles prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 28th at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 4 matchup.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3-0 this year after they defeated the Jets by a score of 29-27 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 20-6 at halftime and 26-13 in the fourth, but they needed a last second field goal to escape with the victory. The Buccaneers out gained New York by a total of 347-267, went 4-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 2-0 in the game. Baker Mayfield went 19-29 for 233 yards and one touchdown, while Bucky Irving rushed 25 times for 66 yards. Emeka Egbuka led the TB receivers with six catches for 85 yards in the victory. The Tampa Bay defense recorded four sacks and nine tackles for loss in the game. 

The Buccaneers also have wins over Atlanta by a score of 23-20 and Houston by a score of 20-19 to start the season. Tampa Bay is averaging 24.0 points per game with 191.7 passing yards and 130.7 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 22.0 points against per game this season. Baker Mayfield has completed 61.6% of his passes for 615 yards and six touchdowns, while Emeka Egbuka has caught 14 passes for 181 yards and three scores. Bucky Irving has led the ground game with 174 yards on 56 carries this year. 

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Eagles are 3-0 this season after they defeated the Rams by a score of 33-26 last week. Philadelphia trailed 19-7 at halftime and 26-7 in the third, but they scored the last 26 points to escape with the close win. The Eagles were out gained by a total of 356-288, went 5-14 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Jalen Hurts went 21-32 for 226 yards and three touchdowns, while Saquon Barkley carried the ball 18 times for 46 yards. AJ Brown led the receivers with six catches for 109 yards and one score in the game. The Philly defense recorded one sack and just two tackles for loss in the victory.

Philadelphia also has wins over Dallas by a score of 24-20 and Kansas City by a score of 20-17 to start the year. The Eagles are averaging 25.7 points per game with 146.7 passing yards and 122.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 21.0 points against per game this season. Jalen Hurts has completed 71.4% of his passes for 479 yards and three touchdowns, while AJ Brown has caught 12 passes for 144 yards and one score. Saquon Barkley has led the rushing attack with 194 yards and two touchdowns on 58 carries this season. 

Why the Buccaneers will beat the Eagles

• The Eagles have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against NFC South opponents.
• The Buccaneers have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Eagles.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Buccaneers’ last six Week 4 games.
• The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against NFC South opponents.
• The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in five of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games against the Eagles.
• The underdogs have won the first half in each of the Buccaneers’ last six Week 4 games.

Why the Eagles will beat the Buccaneers

• The Eagles have won each of their last nine games.
• The Buccaneers have lost nine of their last 10 games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Eagles have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games.
• The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Raymond James Stadium following a home win.
• The Eagles have won the first quarter in six of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Eagles have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 11 Sunday games.
• The Eagles have won the first half in nine of their last 10 games against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Eagles’ last 10 road games against NFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Buccaneers’ last four games against the Eagles following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of the last four Sunday games at Raymond James Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

• Rachaad White has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games as underdogs.
• Cade Otton has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• Rachaad White has recorded 66+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last nine games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• Rachaad White has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 12 games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• Rachaad White has scored the last touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last three games as underdogs following a win.
• Heading into Week 4, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (2) this season.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• A.J. Brown has scored a touchdown in each of the Eagles’ last seven games as favorites against teams on a winning streak.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 198+ passing yards in six of the Eagles’ last seven road games against NFC South opponents.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 18+ completions in each of the Eagles’ last 12 September games against NFC opponents.
• Dallas Goedert has recorded 38+ receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Dallas Goedert has recorded 38+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Tank Bigsby has recorded 28+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances against conference opponents.
• Heading into Week 4, Jalen Hurts ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 4, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 4, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 points per game (11.3) this season.
• Heading into Week 4, the Eagles rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (15.6 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 4, the Eagles rank 32nd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (52.0) this season.

Buccaneers vs Eagles Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this game with a 3-0 record, but both barely escaped with wins last week. The Buccaneers have been living dangerously in all three of their games and while they are due for a loss, they are also at home. Philadelphia has been pretty strong offensively, but their defense has definitely been a minor disappointment. I really like how both offenses operate and I think we are going to see plenty of points in this matchup. Take the over in this game. 

David Racey went 8-0 (100%) in the NFL last week and he is #1 on the NFL leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!