Miami Dolphins (8-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (10-3)
December 17, 2022 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bills -7.5 / Miami Dolphins +7.5; Over/Under: 42.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills meet Saturday in week 15 NFL action at Highmark Stadium. The Miami Dolphins have split their last 10 games. The Buffalo Bills have won 4 straight games.
The Miami Dolphins have split their last 6 road games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 3,004 yards, 22 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 2,463 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Trent Sherfield has 26 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 89.8 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 610 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 24 points and 350.8 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 83 tackles, Melvin Ingram has 6 sacks and Jevon Holland has 2 interceptions.
The Buffalo Bills have won 4 of their last 5 home games. Josh Allen is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 3,553 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis have combined for 1,935 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns, while Isaiah McKenzie has 38 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 133.7 yards per contest, and Devin Singletary leads the way with 642 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 17 points and 319.3 yards per game. Damar Hamlin leads the Buffalo Bills with 80 tackles, Von Miller has 8 sacks and Jordan Poyer has 4 interceptions.
The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bills are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 road games. The under is 9-2 in Bills last 11 games overall. The Dolphins are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Buffalo. The underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Miami Dolphins have really rubbed me the wrong way these last 2 weeks, and their refusal to even mix in the run game is wild. The Dolphins have a combined 24 designed runs in their last 2 games. It’s clear Mike McDaniel has fallen in love with the passing attack, and it’s costing this team. The Dolphins have a long history of folding this time of year, especially when having to go up north. The Dolphins were just out west for two weeks and now get a third straight road game on short rest. Brutal spot. While I’d love to be wrong, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bills blow the doors off here.
