Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 11-17-24 NFL Picks

The Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears will meet Sunday in NFL action from Soldier Field. Here’s a Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bears vs Packers pick.

Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

Green Bay started out on a 2-2 run this year with losses to the Eagles and Vikings around wins versus the Colts and Titans. The Packers would then hit a win streak over the Rams, Cardinals, Texans and Jaguars before another loss to the Lions.

In the matchup with the rival Lions on November 3, the Packers gave up 17 points in the second quarter and eventually took a 24-14 loss. Jordan Love threw for 273 yards and an interception, while Jayden Reed led the receivers on five grabs for 113 yards.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Bears’ side, they lost two of their first three games to the Colts and Texans. Chicago would hit a minor win streak versus the Rams, Panthers and Jaguars next. Since then it’s been losses to the Commanders, Cardinals and Patriots, however.

Back on Sunday versus the Patriots, the Bears were down 13-3 by halftime and eventually lost 19-3. QB Caleb Williams put up 120 yards passing and D’Andre Swift led the rush on 59 yards. Keenan Allen caught five balls for 44 yards to top the receivers.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Bears’ last nine games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Packers’ last four road games against NFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Caleb Williams has recorded 217+ passing yards in three of the Bears’ last four Sunday games as underdogs.
• D.J. Moore has recorded 51+ receiving yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC North opponents.
• D.J. Moore has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC North opponents.
• D.J. Moore has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Bears’ last five home games against NFC opponents.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Bears’ last five games as underdogs.
• Kevin Byard is just one away from 30 career interceptions.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Love has recorded 229+ passing yards in each of the Packers’ last eight games against NFC North opponents.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of his last seven November road appearances.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 66+ rushing yards in 10 of his last 11 appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
• Josh Jacobs has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Tucker Kraft has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Packers’ last five games as favorites.
• Jordan Love has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Packers’ last seven games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Jordan Love has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Packers’ last seven games against NFC North opponents.
• Heading into Week 11, Xavier McKinney ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (6) this season.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction

I’m going to lean toward the Packers. Green Bay shot themselves in the foot with 10 penalties in the Lions matchup. The offense couldn’t sustain drives either: the Pack went just 3-of-12 on third downs. On the other side, the defense wasn’t too bad, giving up 261 yards (137 passing) and 4-of-12 on third-down tries—but no takeaways.

As for the Bears, they’ve hit the skids over their last three games. The Patriots matchup was especially ugly, as the Chicago offense could muster just 142 yards (69 passing), 2.4 yards per play, 11 first downs and an abysmal 1-of-14 rate on third-down tries. The Bears should make a soft landing for a Packers team in need of a good showing.