Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction 11-3-24 NFL Picks
Las Vegas Raiders (2-6) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (3-5)
November 3, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -7; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, November 3rd at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week nine matchup.
Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals are 3-5 this year after they lost to Philadelphia by a score of 37-17 in their last game. Cincinnati was tied at 17 in the third quarter, but they allowed the last 20 points in the game for the loss. The Bengals were out gained by a total of 397-280, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 10-13 on third down in the game. Joe Burrow threw for 234 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Chase Brown rushed for 32 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, the Bengals defeated Cleveland by a score of 21-14 and the Giants by a score of 17-7. The Cincinnati offense has scored 24.4 points per game with 235.5 passing yards and 89.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.4 points against per game this season. The Bengals have gone 45.9% on third down and 3-6 on fourth down so far this season. Joe Burrow has completed 70.3% of his passes for 1,993 yards, 15 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Ja’Marr Chase has caught 48 passes for 674 yards and seven scores.
Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders are 2-6 this season after they lost to Kansas City by a score of 27-20 in their last game. Las Vegas trailed 17-10 at halftime, but they did play fairly well in the second half to keep the game close. The Raiders were out gained by a total of 334-228, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Gardner Minshew threw for 209 yards and two touchdowns, while Brock Bowers caught five passes for 58 yards.
Las Vegas has also lost to the Rams, Steelers, and Broncos during this four game losing streak. The Las Vegas offense has scored 18 points per game with 209.1 passing yards and 79 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26.3 points against per game this season. The Raiders have gone 33% on third down and 4-12 on fourth down through eight games. Gardner Minshew has completed 67.6% of his passes for 1,377 yards, six touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Brock Bowers has caught 52 passes for 535 yards and one score.
Why the Bengals will beat the Raiders
- The Raiders have lost eight of their last nine Sunday road games.
- The Bengals have won seven of their last eight games at Paycor Stadium before a Division game.
- The Bengals have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 15 road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Raiders have lost the first half in each of their last eight games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games against the Raiders.
- The Bengals have won the first quarter in seven of their last eight games against the Raiders.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Raiders’ last seven games as underdogs following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Bengals’ last five November games against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Sunday games at Paycor Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
- Joe Burrow has recorded 270+ passing yards in each of the Bengals’ last four November games as favorites.
- Ja’Marr Chase has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Bengals’ last six games.
- Joe Burrow has thrown two or more touchdowns in 10 of his last 12 regular season home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Zack Moss has recorded 34+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances against AFC West opponents.
- Zack Moss has recorded 52+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine Sunday home appearances.
- Tanner Hudson has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last seven home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last six appearances against AFC West opponents.
- Heading into Week 9, Ja’Marr Chase ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving yards (674) this season.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Jakobi Meyers has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last eight appearances following a loss.
- Gardner Minshew II has recorded 226+ passing yards in each of his six previous road appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Jakobi Meyers has recorded 49+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Zamir White has recorded 24+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
- Alexander Mattison has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last four games.
- Gardner Minshew II has recorded 25+ completions in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 9, A.J. Cole ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (52.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 9, the Bengals rank T3rd in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (2.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Bengals have recorded the equal-most wins in games when recording fewer total yards than their opponent this season (3).
- Heading into Week 9, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in forced fumbles (0) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Raiders rank 1st in the NFL in average yards per punt (52.9) this season.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
Cincinnati comes into this game after falling apart in the second half against Philadelphia last week, and they really need a win in this game to stay in the playoff race. The Bengals have had some issues on defense this season, but luckily for them, the Las Vegas offense is not good. The Raiders have scored 20 points or fewer in five straight games and they have lost four in a row. This Cincinnati team is hard to trust, but I think it has to be Bengals or pass in this situation.