NFL Picks

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders Prediction 9-23-24 NFL Picks

Washington Commanders (1-1) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (0-2)
September 23, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -7.5; Over/Under: 48.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Commanders and Cincinnati Bengals meet Monday in week 3 NFL action at Paycor Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders Pick.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders lost to the Buccaneers, beat the Giants and play the Cardinals next. The Washington Commanders have lost 5 straight road games. Jayden Daniels is completing 75.5 percent of his passes for 410 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Austin Ekeler and Zach Ertz have combined for 189 receiving yards on 14 catches, while Noah Brown has 3 receptions.

The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 176.5 yards per contest, and Brain Robinson Jr. leads the way with 173 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Washington is allowing 27.5 points and 348 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 19 tackles, Clelin Ferrell has 2 sacks and Benjamin St-Juste has 4 pass deflections.

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals lost to the Patriots and Chiefs, and they play the Panthers next. The Cincinnati Bengals haven’t started 0-3 since the 2019 season. Joe Burrow is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 422 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Mike Gesicki and Ja’Marr Chase have combined for 206 receiving yards on 20 catches, while Jermaine Burton has 1 reception.

The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 72 yards per contest, and Zack Moss leads the way with 78 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 21 points and 288 yards per game. Logan Wilson leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 24 tackles, Trey Hendrickson has 2 sacks and Akeem Davis-Gaither has 1 interception.

Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win

  • The Bengals have won each of their last nine games against NFC opponents.
  • The Commanders have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a Division game.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Commanders’ last eight games.
  • The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last 11 September games as underdogs.
  • The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last nine games.
  • The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 Week 3 games.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

  • Zack Moss has recorded 55+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Zack Moss has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Bengals’ last five September games against NFC opponents.
  • Tanner Hudson has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances following a loss.
  • Joe Burrow has thrown three touchdowns in three of his last five appearances with the Bengals as favorites following a road loss.
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 26+ completions in four of his last five appearances with the Bengals as favorites following a loss.
  • Andrei Iosivas ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (2) this season.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of his last 19 appearances following a win.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 34 appearances following a win.
  • Zach Ertz has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of his last nine Monday regular season appearances.
  • Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight road appearances.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in four of his last five Monday appearances.
  • Austin Seibert has recorded the most made field goals in a single game this season (7 vs Giants, Week 2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bengals rank 1st in the NFL in average yards per punt (59.3) this season.
  • The Bengals rank T2nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (128.5) this season.
  • The Commanders rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return (24.0 yards) this season.
  • The Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders Prediction

The Cincinnati Bengals haven’t won a game, but they showed progress last week against the Chiefs, taking KC down to the wire and probably should’ve won. There are positives in that loss. The Washington Commanders have been awful defensively through two games, and that’s not ideal when going on the road against a talented Bengals’ offense that’s starting to find their footing. The Commanders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when underdogs of 7 or more points.

This feels like a game that the Bengals take out some frustration and get in the win column. Give me the Bengals by double digits on Monday night.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -7.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button