Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens prediction 10-1-23 NFL Picks
Cleveland Browns (2-1) vs Baltimore Ravens (2-1)
2023-10-01 13:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Browns -2.5 -- Over/Under: 41
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns meet in week 4 NFL action from Cleveland Browns Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
Ravens Fall Short In OT For First Loss
The Baltimore Ravens took their first loss of the season in a 22-19 OT loss to the Colts in their last matchup. Lamar Jackson has thrown for 608 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 73.3% passing while also leading the Ravens in rushing with 193 yards and 2 touchdowns. Gus Edwards has 145 rushing yards as well while Zay Flowers has a team-high 21 receptions for 188 yards and Nelson Agholor has 102 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Roquan Smith has a team-high 33 total tackles while Kyle Hamilton leads Baltimore with 3 sacks.
Baltimore Ravens Team Facts
The road team has won each of the Ravens’ last eight Week 4 games.
The Ravens have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 Sunday games as underdogs.
The Ravens have won the first quarter in four of their last six Sunday games as underdogs.
The Ravens have lost the first half in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games following a home loss.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
Lamar Jackson ranked 2nd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (6.8) last season
Browns Get Back Above .500
The Cleveland Browns got back to a winning record by routing the Tennessee Titans thanks to a 27-3 win last time out, improving to 2-1 on the year. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 678 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 63.7% passing while Jerome Ford has 160 rushing yards. Amari Cooper has 17 receptions for a team-high 243 receiving yards while Elijah Moore has 128 receiving yards this season. On defense, Grant Delpit has 16 total tackles while Myles Garrett leads the Browns with 4.5 sacks this season.
Cleveland Browns Team Facts
The Browns have won each of their last six home games against AFC North opponents.
The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
The underdogs have won the first quarter in three the Browns’ last four Week 4 games.
The home team has won the first half in each of the Browns’ last eight games.
The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 15 home games against AFC North opponents.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
Myles Garrett ranked T2nd in the NFL in Sacks (16.0) last season
Matchup/League Facts
The Browns ranked 5th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (196.2) last season
The Browns ranked 5th in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (55.5) last season
The Ravens ranked 1st in the AFC North for points allowed per game last season (18.5)
The Ravens ranked 1st in the AFC North for total yards allowed per game last season (324.3)
Chris’ Pick
I get the case to be made for either side here, but I’m going to side with the under here. This to me just feels like one of those knock down and drag out AFC North battles that we’ve become accustomed to seeing in the past. The Browns defense has been solid all season, and that Pittsburgh game still gets blown out of proportion because of the numbers on the surface, but the Browns gave the Steelers two defensive TDs in that game. I think this one could be a 20-17 kind of game, so give me the under here.