Browns vs Dolphins Prediction 10/19/25 NFL Picks Today

The Miami Dolphins and the Cleveland Browns meet Sunday in NFL action from Huntington Bank Field. Here’s a Browns Dolphins prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Browns vs Dolphins pick.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Dolphins didn’t get off to a great start this year, opening things up with a three-game losing streak. Those defeats came versus the Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills in succession. Thankfully Miami took on the lowly New York Jets in week four and powered out a 27-21 win. It was back to the loss column in game five however, as Miami fell to the Carolina Panthers 27-24 on the road. In that matchup the Dolphins tallied a tepid 248 yards (19 rushing) on offense with 15 first downs and a 5-of-13 success rate on third-down tries. The defense gave up 239 rushing yards on the other side as well.

In their matchup with the Chargers back on Sunday, the Dolphins held a slim lead 13-9 by halftime then gave up 14 unanswered points in the third quarter. Miami made a game of it but eventually lost 29-27 in the end. QB Tua Tagovailoa finished 21-of-32 for 205 yards, one TD and three picks. Leading rusher De’Von Achane carried 16 times for 128 yards and two scores, while Jaylen Waddle had six grabs for 95 yards in the home defeat.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

Over on the Browns’ side, they also opened up the season with some losses. Cleveland dropped their first two outings versus the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens before getting a victory in game three over the Green Bay Packers. The next two outings were back to the loss column though, as the Browns fell to the Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings. Cleveland’s defense wasn’t too bad in that one, bagging a pair of fumble recoveries and holding Minnesota to just 3-of-9 on third downs. The 10 penalties for 78 yards were difficult to overcome however.

Last weekend versus the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Browns gave up points in all four quarters and could only muster a trio of field goals on the way to a 23-9 loss on the road. QB Dillon Gabriel was 29-of-52 for 221 yards and Quinshon Judkins topped the rushers in the losing effort with 12 totes for 36 yards on the ground. Leading the receivers was Harold Fannin with seven catches for 81 yards total during the defeat.

Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

• The Dolphins have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The favorites have won each of the Browns’ last nine Week 7 games.
• The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight October games as underdogs.
• The Dolphins have lost the first quarter in four of their last five October road games against AFC opponents.
• The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Browns have won the first half in each of their last six games as home favorites against AFC opponents.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Browns have lost each of their last nine games against AFC opponents.
• The Dolphins have won six of their last seven road games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games.
• The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last nine games against AFC opponents.
• The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Browns’ last eight Sunday games at Huntington Bank Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Dolphins’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last five Sunday games at Huntington Bank Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Jerome Ford has scored the first touchdown in three of the Browns’ last four games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Jerome Ford has recorded 69+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Browns’ last five regular season games as favorites.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 279+ passing yards in each of his last four October appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• David Njoku has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with the Browns as favorites.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last three appearances with the Browns as favorites.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last three appearances with the Browns as favorites.
• Quinshon Judkins has 383 rushing yards through his first five career games – most by any player since De’Von Achane, (2023).

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in nine of the Dolphins’ last 10 games against teams with a losing record.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 77+ rushing yards in each of his three previous October appearances with the Dolphins as underdogs.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 101+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Dolphins’ last four games against AFC opponents.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 234+ passing yards in eight of his last 10 October appearances.
• Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has recorded 23+ receiving yards in three of his last four appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 25+ completions in three of his last four Sunday road appearances.
• Heading into Week 7, De’Von Achane is the only player in the NFL to record 3+ rushing and 3+ receiving TDs this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 7, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game (13.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in 4th down attempts (16) this season.
• Dolphins – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
• Heading into Week 7, the Dolphins rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (168.5) this season.

Browns vs Dolphins Prediction

I’ll stick with Miami. That said, I’m probably avoiding this one. There’s not a lot to get excited about here in a battle between two struggling teams. The Dolphins managed 341 yards total in their home loss to the Chargers last weekend, alongside 6.1 yards per play, 19 first downs and 5-of-11 on third-down tries. The real killers however, were the three interceptions. On defense, Miami gave up 403 yards (263 passing) with 20 first downs and 6-of-15 on third-down conversion attempts. The Dolphins have given up a combined 56 points in the last two games, but to be fair, the team is scoring pretty well overall. Miami has notched 21 or more points in each of the last five outings.

As for Cleveland, they’re coming off a pretty flat effort against a mistake-prone (10 penalties) Pittsburgh team on the road last weekend. The Browns gained just 248 total yards (183 passing) with 3.3 yards per play and 6-of-17 on third downs. On the other side, Cleveland surrendered 335 yards (235 passing) with 5.8 yards per play and a respectable 5-of-13 on third downs. The Browns have had some trouble on the scoreboard so far this year; they’ve been below 18 points in all six games. I don’t see a big surge coming here either.