Cowboys vs Chiefs Prediction 11/27/25 NFL Picks Today

The Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys meet Thursday in NFL action at AT&T Stadium. Here’s a Cowboys vs Chiefs Prediction. This article will include a Cowboys vs Chiefs Pick.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs lost to the Broncos, beat the Colts, and they play the Texans next. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 6 of their last 9 games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 2,977 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Hollywood Brown and Travis Kelce have combined for 1,113 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Rashee Rice has 34 receptions.

The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 118.3 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 457 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 18.3 points and 293 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 89 tackles, George Karlaftis has 5 sacks and Chris Roland-Wallace has 1 interception.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys beat the Raiders and Eagles, and they play the Lions next. The Dallas Cowboys have split their last 6 games. Dak Prescott is completing 69.3 percent of his passes for 2,941 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb have combined for 1,686 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Jake Ferguson has 65 receptions.

The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 120.5 yards per contest, and Javonte Williams leads the way with 896 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 28.5 points and 377.5 yards per game. Kenneth Murray Jr. leads the Dallas Cowboys with 68 tackles, James Houston has 4.5 sacks and Donovan Wilson has 2 interceptions.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The home team has won each of the Chiefs’ last eight games.
• The Chiefs have lost each of their last six November road games against NFC East opponents.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games in November.
• The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Chiefs’ last eight games.
• The Cowboys have won the first quarter in four of their last five Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Cowboys have won the first half in each of their last five home games against the Chiefs.
• The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight home games against AFC opponents.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Cowboys have lost each of their last seven November home games against AFC opponents.
• The Chiefs have won nine of their last 10 November games against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last four road games after coming off overtime.
• The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last eight games in November.
• The Chiefs have won the first half in each of their last eight November games against NFC opponents.
• The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 11 games as favorites following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Chiefs’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Cowboys’ last six Thursday home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the last 10 Thursday games at AT&T Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 85+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last six home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 261+ passing yards in each of his last five Thursday home appearances.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 83+ rushing yards in each of his six previous appearances at AT&T Stadium.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in four of his last five November appearances against AFC opponents.
• Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Cowboys’ last five games as underdogs.
• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 85+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last six home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Heading into Week 13, Javonte Williams ranks T1st in the NFL in broken tackles (21) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Kareem Hunt has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his nine previous appearances with his team as a favorite in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Marquise Brown has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Kareem Hunt has recorded 49+ rushing yards in each of his six previous November appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Marquise Brown has recorded 35+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Heading into Week 13, Harrison Butker has recorded the equal-most made field goals in a single game this season (5 vs Colts, Week 12).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 13, the Cowboys rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (387.3) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Cowboys rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards per game (266.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in time of possession per game (32:35) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (23.5%) this season.

Cowboys vs Chiefs Prediction

The Chiefs look good on paper, but they’ve failed to cover 3 straight games and find themselves in a lot of dog fights lately. The Cowboys have all of a sudden turned their season around with two straight wins, and the victory last week over the Eagles could have a carry-over effect.

The Cowboys have the offense to hang around, and they’ve covered 4 straight home games as an underdog, outright winning 2 of those games. I love my home dogs on short weeks, and the Chiefs have been shaky at best over the last month. I also like the hook on top of a key number. Give me the Cowboys and the points.