Cowboys vs Texans Prediction 10/4/26 NFL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Cowboys vs Texans Prediction for this NFL Week 4 game on Sunday, October 4^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Houston Texans Preview

The Houston Texans have a 0-3 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the AFC South. They are coming off a 17-19 road loss against the Colts and will face the Titans, the Jaguars and the Giants next.

Offensively, the Texans average 18 points per game, ranking 24th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 25 points per game, which is 19th. Houston averages 326 total yards per game (241.3 passing and 84.7 rushing), while allowing 325.3 total yards per game (86.7 rushing and 238.7 passing).

C.J. Stroud leads the Texans with 794 passing yards with 60.0% completed passes and three touchdowns. David Montgomery leads the team in rushing yards with 103, while Dalton Schultz has 19 receptions for a team-high 205 receiving yards. Defensively, Azeez Al-Shaair has a team-high 31 total tackles (13 of them solo), while Will Anderson leads the team in sacks, with 4.

Dallas Cowboys Preview

The Dallas Cowboys have a 1-2 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the NFC East. They are coming off a 31-34 home loss against the Ravens and will face the Buccaneers, the Packers and the Eagles next.

Offensively, the Cowboys average 29.3 points per game, ranking 7th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 27.3 points per game, which is 25th. Dallas averages 330.3 total yards per game (236 passing and 94.3 rushing), while allowing 387 total yards per game (179.7 rushing and 207.3 passing).

Dak Prescott leads the Cowboys with 730 passing yards with 69.5% completed passes and seven touchdowns. Javonte Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 169, while CeeDee Lamb has 20 receptions for a team-high 309 receiving yards. Defensively, Jaishawn Barham, Caleb Downs and Dee Winters have a team-high 20 total tackles each (11, 12 and 15 of them solo respectively), while Caleb Downs leads the team in sacks, with one.

Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the Houston Texans will win

• The Texans have won each of their last nine games following a Division game.
• The Cowboys have lost three of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games without DaRon Bland.
• The Texans have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games following a Division game.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in seven of their last eight games against NFC opponents.
• The Texans have won the first half in each of their last seven October games as favorites.
• The Texans have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight home games against NFC opponents.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Cowboys have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Texans have lost each of their six previous Week 4 games against NFC opponents.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Texans have lost the first half in each of their last four games.
• The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games.
• The Texans have lost the first quarter in each of their last five Week 4 games against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cowboys’ last six games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Texans’ last six Sunday home games have gone OVER the total points line.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four October appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 22+ completions in seven of the Texans’ last eight games as favorites following a road loss.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 260+ passing yards in five of the Texans’ last six games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his five previous appearances against the Cowboys.
• Kayshon Boutte has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous October appearances.
• David Montgomery has recorded 53+ rushing yards in each of his five previous appearances against the Cowboys.
• David Montgomery has scored a touchdown in 13 of his last 16 regular season home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 4, David Montgomery ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Javonte Williams has scored two touchdowns in three of the Cowboys’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Cowboys’ last three games as underdogs.
• George Pickens has recorded 74+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 276+ passing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last four games as underdogs.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 14+ rushing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last four games following a loss.
• Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Cowboys’ last eight games as underdogs.
• George Pickens has recorded 74+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 4, Dak Prescott has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (4 vs Commanders, Week 2).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 4, the Texans rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down attempts (7) this season.
• Heading into Week 4, the Texans rank 32nd in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (12.7) this season.
• Cowboys – three different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Heading into Week 4, the Cowboys rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.

Cowboys vs Texans Prediction

In this Cowboys vs Texans Prediction, the Texans are coming as -3.5 home favorites. Houston has been winless this season and has failed to cover the spread in all three losses, having a -7 point differential. The Cowboys on the other hand, have covered the spread in back-to-back games and have the 7^th-best offense in the NFL, having scored 68 points in their last two games. The Cowboys are also 4-2 in its last 6 meetings against the Texans and have covered the spread in their two visits in Houston. I will take a stab with the road dog in this matchup, so take the Cowboys and grab the +3.5 points.