Buffalo Bills (10-3) vs. Detroit Lions (12-1)
December 15, 2024 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Lions -2; Over/Under: +52
(Get latest betting odds)
The Buffalo Bills and the Detroit Lions meet Sunday in NFL action from Ford Field. Here’s a Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Lions vs Bills pick.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
The Bills hit a 3-2 opening stretch this year, taking losses to the Ravens and Texans. Buffalo would go on a winning streak after that however, beating the Jets, Titans, Seahawks, Dolphins, Colts, Chiefs, and 49ers in the next seven games.
In their Week 14 game versus the Rams, the Bills gave up double-digit points in both the second and third quarters during a tough loss 44-42. Josh Allen threw for 342 yards and three scores while also leading the rush on 10 carries, 82 yards, and three more touchdowns.
Detroit Lions Betting Preview
Over on the Lions’ side, they’ve hit a stellar 12-1 run in their first 13 games. Detroit beat the Rams, Cardinals, Seahawks, Cowboys, Vikings, Titans, Packers, Texans, Jaguars, Colts, Bears, and Packers again in succession during that time.
In last Thursday’s matchup with the Packers, the Lions were outscored 24-17 in the second half but still managed to hold on for a 34-31 victory. QB Jared Goff finished with 283 yards, three scores, and a pick. Tops in receiving was Jameson Williams with five catches for 80 yards.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bills’ last seven games as underdogs following a road loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Lions’ last eight December games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 68+ rushing yards in each of the Lions’ last eight games against AFC opponents.
- Jared Goff has recorded 257+ passing yards in 11 of the Lions’ last 12 games following a home win.
- David Montgomery has recorded 20+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last six games as favorites following a win.
- David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in four of the Lions’ last five home games.
- David Montgomery has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight Sunday regular season home appearances.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last eight games against AFC opponents.
- Jared Goff has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last seven home appearances in December.
- Jared Goff has recorded 23+ completions in seven of the Lions’ last eight home games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 15, Kerby Joseph ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (7) this season.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- Josh Allen has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Bills’ last four December games.
- Curtis Samuel has recorded 25+ rushing and receiving yards in 20 of his last 21 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NFC opponents.
- Josh Allen has scored the last touchdown in each of the Bills’ last three Sunday games.
- Josh Allen has recorded 32+ rushing yards in 10 of the Bills’ last 11 Sunday games as road underdogs.
- Josh Allen has recorded 284+ passing yards in each of the Bills’ last five games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Curtis Samuel has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC North opponents.
- Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills’ last seven December games.
- Josh Allen has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of the Bills’ last eight games against NFC opponents.
- Josh Allen has recorded 29+ completions in each of the Bills’ last five games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Rasul Douglas is just one away from 20 career interceptions.
Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
I’ll probably go with the Bills here. We should have a pretty great matchup regardless, but a little bit of the luster has worn off thanks to Buffalo’s loss last weekend. In that one, the Bills gave up 457 total yards (320 passing) and 28 first downs. The offense didn’t really get moving until the fourth quarter (21 points) either. Still, the Bills have now scored 30 or more points in seven straight games.
As for the Lions, in their last game, they mustered 391 total yards (280 passing) and 27 first downs against a good Green Bay team in a pretty tight win. Detroit is now averaging 32.1 points per game and giving up 18.0 on the other side. That said, three of the Lions’ last five wins have been by just three points each (against Houston, Chicago, and Green Bay). Detroit will get the advantage of rest, preparation, and home field coming into this one so Buffalo is going to have to play some very good football in order to cover/win. I think the Bills can do it, though. Should be a fun one to check out.
