Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Prediction 11-28-24 NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, November 28th at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup.

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 10-1 this year after they defeated the Colts by a score of 24-6 in their last game. Detroit led 7-6 in the second quarter, but they scored the last 17 points in the game for the win. The Lions outgained Indianapolis by a total of 390-268, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 9-15 on third down in the game. Jared Goff threw for 269 yards, while Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 90 yards and two scores. 

Prior to that win, the Lions defeated Jacksonville by a score of 52-6 and Houston by a score of 26-23. The Detroit offense has scored 32.7 points per game with 243.5 passing yards and 150.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 16.6 points per game this season. Jared Goff has completed 72.9% of his passes for 2,761 yards, 20 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught 71 passes for 747 yards and nine scores. 

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears are 4-7 this season after they lost to Minnesota in overtime by a score of 30-27 in their last game. Chicago erased a 27-16 deficit with under two minutes left in the fourth, but they came up short in overtime. The Bears were outgained by a total of 452-398, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 6-17 on third down in the game. Caleb Williams threw for 340 yards and two touchdowns, while DJ Moore caught seven passes for 106 yards and one score. 

Prior to that narrow loss, the Bears lost four games in a row against Green Bay, New England, Arizona, and Washington. The Chicago offense has scored 20.1 points per game with 187.1 passing yards and 111.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19.7 points per game this season. Caleb Williams has completed 62.6% of his passes for 2,356 yards, 11 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while DJ Moore has caught 54 passes for 566 yards and four scores. 

Why the Lions will beat the Bears

• The Bears have lost each of their last 12 games against NFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lions have won each of their last nine games.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 13 games against NFC opponents.
• The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last six games before a Division game.
• The Lions have won the first half in each of their last eight games as home favorites against the Bears.
• The Lions have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The home team has won the first quarter in each of the Lions’ last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bears’ last seven road games has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Lions’ last six games at Ford Field following a road win has gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the last seven games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored the last touchdown in three of the Lions’ last four games as favorites following a road win.
• David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in each of the Lions’ last three home games.
• Jameson Williams has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with the Lions as favorites following a win.
• Jared Goff has recorded 277+ passing yards in six of the Lions’ last seven home games against NFC opponents.
• Jared Goff has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 10 home appearances against NFC North opponents.
• David Montgomery has scored a touchdown in each of his eight previous regular-season appearances with the Lions as home favorites against NFC opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 67+ rushing yards in each of his last four November appearances against NFC opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last eight games against NFC opponents.
• Jared Goff has recorded 25+ completions in four of his last five Week 13 appearances.
• Heading into Week 13, Kerby Joseph ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (7) this season.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Keenan Allen has scored at least one touchdown in five of his six previous Week 13 road appearances.
• D’Andre Swift has recorded 15+ receiving yards in 20 of his 21 previous appearances at Ford Field.
• D’Andre Swift has recorded 51+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine regular-season appearances against NFC opponents.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 231+ passing yards in three of the Bears’ last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• D’Andre Swift has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances against NFC opponents.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Bears’ last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• Kevin Byard is just one away from 30 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 13, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in points per game (32.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in average kickoff return (34.9 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Bears rank T31st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (9.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Bears rank T3rd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (9) this season.

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Prediction 

Detroit rolls into this matchup with one of the best records in the NFL and they will be at home, but they are dealing with some injuries. The Lions have won by double-digits in six of their last eight games, but one of their two main running backs is questionable here. Chicago has lost five games in a row, with the last two coming by one point against Green Bay and in overtime against Minnesota. The Bears’ offense has shown improvement over the last two weeks, but I can’t go against this Detroit team at home. Take the Lions to win by two scores.