Indianapolis Colts (5-7) vs. New England Patriots (3-9)
December 1, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New England Patriots +3.5; Over/Under: 43.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction for this NFL Week 13 game on Sunday, December 1st, at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots Need This Year to Be Over
The Patriots need this year to be over, and they come into this game with a 3-9 record overall. Last Sunday, the Patriots scored only 15 points, and the defense gave up 34 points and that led to the defeat. Drake Maye completed 22 of his 37 passes for 222 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. The defense was awful though giving up 34 points and that led to the 19 point defeat. One issue for the offense was the lack of a balanced offense. The top running back was Antonio Gibson and he rushed six times for 31 yards. The Patriots are averaging 16.4 points while their defense is giving up 23.5 points per game. The offense is ranked 31st in the league while the defense is ranked 19th. The offense is ranked 31st in the league while the defense is ranked 19th. On the season, Drake Maye has thrown for 1,458 yards, 10 touchdowns, and seven interceptions.
Colts Can’t Lose This Game
The Colts can’t lose this game as they come into this game with a 5-7 record overall. In the last game against the Detroit Lions, the defense actually wasn’t awful, giving up only 24 points to an elite offense, but the offense only scored six points. Anthony Richardson completed 11 of his 28 passes for 172 yards. He did finish with 10 carries for 61 yards. Michael Pittman Jr finished with six catches for 96 yards. Two games ago, against the New York Jets, the Colts were able to secure a 28-27 victory. The Colts are averaging 20.2 points while their defense is giving up 22.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 21st in the league, while the defense is ranked 16th. Center Ryan Kelly is dealing with a calf injury and is out.
Why the Colts Will Beat the Patriots
- The Patriots have lost 13 of their last 14 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Colts have won seven of their last eight games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine December games at Gillette Stadium.
- The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
- The Colts have won the first half in 10 of their last 11 December games as favorites against AFC opponents.
New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction
This isn’t the best game on the board, to bed, but I do like the under. The Patriots offense is going to struggle to move the ball and the Colts defense is going to step up here. The Colts averaging 20.2 points per game, but Anthony Richardson has been too inconsistent and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going here. This game is going to finish under 35 points. Back the under to cash.
