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Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction 12-25-24 NFL Picks

Baltimore Ravens (10-5) vs. Houston Texans (9-6)
December 25, 2024 4:30 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Texans +5; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans meet Wednesday in week 17 NFL action at NRG Stadium. Here’s a Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction. This article will include a Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Pick.

Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Giants and Steelers, and they play the Browns next. The Baltimore Ravens have won 5 of their last 7 road games. Lamar Jackson is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 3,787 yards, 37 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman have combined for 1,684 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Mark Andrews has 49 receptions.


The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 181.2 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 1,636 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 23.3 points and 338 yards per game. Roquan Smith leads the Baltimore Ravens with 136 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has 10.5 sacks and Marlon Humphrey has 6 interceptions.

Houston Texans Betting Preview

The Houston Texans beat the Dolphins, lost to the Chiefs, and play the Titans next. The Houston Texans have won 5 of their last 7 home games. C.J. Stroud is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 3,492 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Nico Collins and Tank Dell have combined for 1,576 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Dalton Schultz has 48 receptions.

The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 109.6 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 967 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 21.8 points and 307.3 yards per game. Henry To’oTo’o leads the Houston Texans with 97 tackles, Danielle Hunter has 12 sacks and Calen Bullock has 5 interceptions.

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

  • The favorites have won each of the Texans’ last 11 Week 17 games.
  • The Texans have lost five of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in eight of the Texans’ last nine Week 17 games.
  • The Texans have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games before a Division game.
  • The Ravens have won the first quarter in each of their last two games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last seven December games as road favorites.
  • The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games against AFC South opponents.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

  • Nico Collins has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four regular season appearances with the Texans as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Joe Mixon has scored the first touchdown in each of the Texans’ last three games following a loss.
  • C.J. Stroud has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of his five previous appearances with the Texans as home underdogs.
  • Joe Mixon has recorded 65+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight December appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • C.J. Stroud has recorded 274+ passing yards in each of his three previous appearances with the Texans as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances following a loss.
  • Joe Mixon has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last five home appearances.
  • C.J. Stroud has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five appearances following a road loss.
  • Joe Mixon has recorded 87+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances following a loss.
  • Heading into Week 17, Joe Mixon has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Cowboys, Week 11).

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

  • Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC South opponents.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 272+ passing yards in four of the Ravens’ last five games following a home win.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 45+ rushing yards in nine of the Ravens’ last 10 road games.
  • Lamar Jackson has thrown two or more touchdowns in eight of the Ravens’ last nine games.
  • Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC South opponents.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 109+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four December appearances a road favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Nelson Agholor has recorded 26+ receiving yards in eight of his nine previous December appearances with his team as a road favorite.
  • Heading into Week 17, Lamar Jackson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (120.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 17, the Texans rank T1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (80.0) this season.
  • Heading into Week 17, the Texans rank 2nd in the NFL in interceptions (19) this season.
  • Heading into Week 17, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (423.7) this season.
  • Heading into Week 17, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (83.1) this season.

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction

The Houston Texans and the points are wroth a look at home as they’re great defensively, and they’re playing a Ravens team that’s playing for the third time in 10 days. However, the Ravens are the healthier side and have won and covered each of their last three games. The Houston Texans are dropping key players left and right on the offensive side of the ball, and it’s really putting pressure on Stroud to play perfectly. The Ravens have the best run defense in the league, and that’s sure to make things tougher on a banged up Texans offense. Give me the Ravens by a touchdown.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Baltimore Ravens -5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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