Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) vs. Houston Texans (2-1)
September 29, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Texans -4.5; Over/Under: +47
(Get latest betting odds)
The Jacksonville Jaguars and the Houston Texans meet Sunday in NFL action from NRG Stadium. Here’s a Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texans vs Jaguars pick.
Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
The Jaguars got off to a rocky start this year, taking a couple of close losses in their first pair of outings. The opener was a 20-17 loss to the Miami Dolphins. Game two was another close one, this time an 18-13 loss to the Cleveland Browns.
In game three versus Buffalo on Monday, the Jaguars faced an ugly 34-3 deficit by halftime. Things didn’t get any better from there in an eventual 47-10 blowout loss. QB Trevor Lawrence finished with 170 yards, one TD, and a pick. Tops in receiving was Christian Kirk with six grabs for 73 yards.
Houston Texans Betting Preview
Over on the Texans’ side, they got into a couple of close finishes in their first two games as well. Houston came out on the winning end of both, however. The Texans took out the Indianapolis Colts 29-27 in their opener, then dispatched the Bears 19-13 on September 15.
Back on Sunday versus the Vikings, Houston was down 14-0 by the end of the first quarter and ultimately got blown out 34-7. CJ Stroud threw for 215 yards, one TD, and two interceptions. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 94 yards from 10 catches.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Texans’ last five games as favorites following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Jaguars’ last four games as road underdogs against the Texans have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the last six Sunday games at NRG Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Houston Texans Player Prop Facts
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 274+ passing yards in five of his six previous home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Stefon Diggs has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Nico Collins has recorded 80+ receiving yards in each of the Texans’ last five regular season games.
- Stefon Diggs has recorded 98+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven Week 4 appearances.
- Joe Mixon has recorded 65+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances following a loss.
- C.J. Stroud has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his four previous appearances following a road loss.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 24+ completions in four of the Texans’ last five games as favorites following a loss.
- Nico Collins ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving yards (338) this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Travis Etienne has recorded 71+ rushing yards in three of the Jaguars’ last four games against the Texans.
- Travis Etienne has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Jaguars’ last five games following a road loss.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 262+ passing yards in four of the Jaguars’ last five games against AFC South opponents.
- Travis Etienne has recorded 30+ receiving yards in each of the Jaguars’ last four games against the Texans.
- Christian Kirk has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Jaguars as underdogs.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Jaguars’ last four September games against AFC South opponents.
- Trevor Lawrence has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Jaguars’ last four September games against AFC South opponents.
- Darnell Savage Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
I might try the Jaguars here, but only if the line inflates a bit more this week. On Monday Jacksonville looked pretty bad against a Bills team playing just about as well as possible. The Jags’ offense mustered just 239 total yards (147 passing), 19 first downs, 2-of-13 on third-down tries, and two turnovers. Defensively it wasn’t much better with 389 yards (266 passing) and 24 first downs given up.
As for Houston, they didn’t fare so well against the Vikings over the weekend. The Texans posted 296 total yards (38 rushing) with 17 first downs and a rough 4-of-14 on third-down tries. The 11 penalties (88 yards) and two interceptions didn’t help matters. Jacksonville gets the disadvantage of one less day of prep here, but if their offense can recover from Monday’s humiliation I think the Jags can potentially cover. I’m probably staying away, though.
