Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)
November 4, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -9.5; Over/Under: +45.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs meet Monday in week 9 NFL action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost to the Ravens and Falcons, and they play the 49ers next. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 5 of their last 6 road games. Baker Mayfield is completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 2,189 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Chris Godwin and Cade Otton have combined for 920 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Mike Evans has 26 receptions.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 131 yards per contest, and Bucky Irving leads the way with 395 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 26.6 points and 387 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 56 tackles, Vita Vea has 3 sacks and Zyon McCollum has 2 interceptions.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs beat the 49ers and Raiders, and they play the Broncos next. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 13 straight games if you include last year’s Super Bowl run. Patrick Mahomes is completing 68.4 percent of his passes for 1,651 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice have combined for 623 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Xavier Worthy has 19 receptions.
The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 122.1 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 308 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 17.6 points and 295 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 53 tackles, Chris Jones has 3 sacks and Chamarri Conner has 1 interception.
Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win
- The Chiefs have won each of their last 13 games.
- The Buccaneers have lost each of their last six Week 9 road games.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Week 9 games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games.
- The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Chiefs have won the first half in each of their last nine games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven road games against reigning Super Bowl champions.
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
- DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 41+ receiving yards in 19 of his last 20 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
- Kareem Hunt has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five appearances.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 249+ passing yards in seven of the Chiefs’ last eight games against NFC South opponents.
- Kareem Hunt has scored at least one touchdown in 11 of his last 12 appearances at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 22+ rushing yards in nine of the Chiefs’ last 10 Monday games.
- Samaje Perine has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances against NFC opponents.
- Patrick Mahomes has thrown three or more touchdowns in four of the Chiefs’ last seven regular season games against NFC South opponents.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Chiefs’ last eight games against NFC South opponents.
- Justin Reid is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 289+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games following a loss.
- Mike Evans has scored a touchdown in eight of the Buccaneers’ last nine Monday regular season games.
- Rachaad White has recorded 38+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Rachaad White has recorded 67+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances following a loss.
- Rachaad White has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games as underdogs following a home loss.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games following a loss.
- Baker Mayfield has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers’ last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
- Heading into Week 9, Baker Mayfield ranks 1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (21) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 9, the Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (85.7) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in H2 win percentage (85.7) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Buccaneers rank 32nd in the NFL in average yards per punt (43.7) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Buccaneers rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (52.5%) this season.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games when underdogs of 7 or more points. The Bucs are 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog overall. You can talk yourself into the points. The problem is, the Buccaneers are without their two best offensive weapons in Godwin and Evans, and it handicaps everything. The Chiefs have not only won 13 straight games, but they’ve covered 8 of their last 10 games. I liked the Bucs a couple of weeks ago as a sleeper team that could come out of the NFC. Now, I want little to do with them without one of the better receiving duos in the league. Give me the Chiefs by double digits.
