LA Chargers (10-6) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (4-12)
January 5, 2025 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Las Vegas Raiders +6; Over/Under: +42.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The LA Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders meet Sunday in week 18 NFL action at Allegiant Stadium. Here’s a Las Vegas Raiders vs LA Chargers Prediction. This article will include a Las Vegas Raiders vs LA Chargers Pick.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers recently lost to the Buccaneers, while beating the Broncos and Patriots. The Los Angeles Chargers have won 4 of their last 6 road games. Justin Herbert is completing 65 percent of his passes for 3,524 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Ladd McConkey and Joshua Palmer have combined for 1,638 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Quentin Johnston has 42 receptions.
The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 109.1 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 842 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 17.6 points and 328.1 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 142 tackles, Tuli Tuipulotu has 8.5 sacks and Tarheeb Still has 4 interceptions.
Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders are coming off wins over the Jaguars and Saints. The Las Vegas Raiders have lost 4 of their last 5 home games. Aidan O’Connell is completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 1,398 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers have combined for 2,048 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Tre Tucker has 44 receptions.
The Las Vegas Raiders ground game is averaging 82.4 yards per contest, and Alexander Mattison leads the way with 400 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Las Vegas is allowing 25 points and 324.4 yards per game. Robert Spillane leads the Las Vegas Raiders with 142 tackles, K’Lavon Chaisson has 5 sacks and Jack Jones has 3 interceptions.
Las Vegas Raiders vs LA Chargers Injury Report
The Chargers have shutdown cornerback Elijah Golden due to a broken fibula. At the time of this writing, running back Gus Edwards, tight end Hayden Hurst, linebacker Denzel Perryman and offensive lineman Trey Pipkins III are questionable.
For the Raiders, running back Ameer Abdullah and offensive lineman Jordan Meredith are questionable. Abdullah is coming off his best game of the season against the Saints, where he had 115 yards on 20 carries.
Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win
- The favorites have won each of the Raiders’ last 12 games.
- The Raiders have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
- The Chargers have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Chargers have won the first half in each of their last eight games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Raiders have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games against AFC opponents.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Jakobi Meyers has recorded 59+ receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last four games as underdogs.
- Jakobi Meyers has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six home appearances against division opponents.
- Aidan O’Connell has recorded 244+ passing yards in four of his last five home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Tre Tucker has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last four home games against AFC West opponents.
- Aidan O’Connell has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jack Jones is just three away from 10 career interceptions.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Palmer has recorded 36+ receiving yards in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AFC West opponents.
- J.K. Dobbins has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 237+ passing yards in 11 of his 12 previous road appearances against AFC West opponents.
- Gus Edwards has recorded 36+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 road appearances against division opponents.
- J.K. Dobbins has recorded 102+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five road appearances against division opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 21+ completions in each of his six previous January appearances.
- Derwin James is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 18, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (82.4) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Raiders rank 31st in the NFL in forced fumbles (6) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (17.6) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Chargers rank 2nd in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (7.8) this season.
Las Vegas Raiders vs LA Chargers Prediction
The Las Vegas Raiders clearly don’t care about draft position, as they’re coming off back-to-back wins. The Raiders are competing and would probably enjoy beating a division rival. The problem is, it’s going to take more than two wins to get me to give the Raiders attention. This is a bad, banged up football team that’s also just 7-8-1 ATS on the season. The Los Angeles Chargers should have a field day offensively, and they need to win this game in terms of seeding. I’m sure the Chargers would love to play the Texans in the first round over the Ravens.
The Chargers are 11-5 ATS on the season, which makes them a top-3 cover team in the NFL. I’ll take the Chargers by double digits.
