Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys prediction 10-16-23 NFL Picks
Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) vs Dallas Cowboys (3-2)
2023-10-16 20:15:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles Chargers +2 -- Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Los Angeles Chargers and Dallas Cowboys do battle in week 6 NFL action from SoFi Stadium on Monday Night Football. Let’s break down this game and give out a free pick.
Cowboys Blown Out In Primetime
The Dallas Cowboys come into this game looking to rebound from a 42-10 loss to the San Francisco 49ers that dropped Dallas to 3-2 on the year. Dak Prescott has thrown for 1,061 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 69.4% passing while Tony Pollard leads the Cowboys with 340 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. CeeDee Lamb leads the Cowboys with 27 receptions for 358 yards while Michael Gallup and Jake Ferguson each have 150+ receiving yards as well this season. On defnese, Damone Clark leads the Cowboys with 31 total tackles while Micah Parsons has a team-high 4 sacks and Osa Odighizuwa has 3 sacks. DaRon Bland also has 3 interceptions for the Cowboys this season.
Dallas Cowboys Team Facts
- The Cowboys have won each of their last seven games following a loss.
- The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as road favorites following a road loss.
- The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last five October games as road favorites.
- The Cowboys have won the first half in each of their last six road games following a loss.
- The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games against AFC opponents.
Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- CeeDee Lamb has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Cowboys’ last six October games as favorites.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 255+ passing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Tony Pollard has recorded 70+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine appearances with the Cowboys as road favorites.
- Brandin Cooks has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC West opponents.
- Tony Pollard has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Cowboys as road favorites.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 23+ completions in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
- Dak Prescott has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his six previous Monday appearances.
DaRon Bland ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.
Chargers Win Back-To-Back Before Bye
The Los Angeles Chargers are coming off of their bye week, but went into the break with back-to-back wins after a 24-17 win over Las Vegas in their last game. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,106 yards, 7 touchdowns and an interception on 71% passing while Joshua Kelley has a team-high 207 rushing yards and Keenan Allen leads the Chargers’ receivers with 35 receptions for 434 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns this season. On defense, Kenneth Murray Jr. has a team-high 26 total tackles and Khalil Mack has a team-high 6 sacks. Joey Bosa also has 3 sacks as well this season.
Los Angeles Chargers Team Facts
- The underdogs have won four of the Chargers’ last five games.
- The Chargers have covered the spread in each of their last six October games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Chargers have won the first quarter in each of their last five games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Chargers have won the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs in California.
- The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 11 games.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven home appearances.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 337+ passing yards in three of the Chargers’ last four games against NFC East opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 16+ rushing yards in five of the Chargers’ last six games as underdogs in California.
- Josh Palmer has recorded 30+ receiving yards in each of the Chargers’ last seven games as underdogs.
- Austin Ekeler has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in four of his last five October home appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 100+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six home appearances.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 28+ completions in three of the Chargers’ last four games as underdogs.
- Justin Herbert has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chargers’ last three games as underdogs following a home win.
- Eric Kendricks is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Chargers rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game this season (299.8).
- The Chargers rank 32nd in the NFL in average yards per punt this season (40.7).
- The Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (13.6 yards) this season.
- The Cowboys rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage this season (80.0).
Chris’ Pick
I’m backing the Chargers here. I know the Chargers don’t necessarily have the biggest home field advantage and Cowboys fans always travel well, but I’m still not sold on this Cowboys team in general. I mean you have guys like CeeDee Lamb calling out their efforts in press conferences, and Dak Prescott was doing Dak Prescott things against the Niners handing the ball to the other team. I’m high on the Chargers and I think they get a big win and cover here. Give me the Chargers in this one.
