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Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction 11-17-24 NFL Picks

Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) vs. Miami Dolphins (3-6)
November 17, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Dolphins -6; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Las Vegas Raiders and the Miami Dolphins meet in week 11 NFL action from Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction.

Las Vegas Raiders Recap

The Las Vegas Raiders come into this one looking to rebound from a 41-24 loss at the hands of Cincinnati last time out. After this game, Las Vegas will head home for a game against the Denver Broncos.


Raiders Drop 5th Straight

Gardner Minshew has thrown for 1,501 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions on 67% passing while Aidan O’Connell has 455 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 INTs on 63.4% passing. Alexander Mattison leads the Raiders with 301 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns while Zamir White has 174 rushing yards. Brock Bowers leads the Raiders in receiving with 57 receptions for 580 yards and 2 touchdowns while Jakobi Meyers has 430 receiving yards. Tre Tucker has 257 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Robert Spillane leads the Raiders with 86 total tackles including 52 solo tackles while Maxx Crosby has a team-high 6.5 sacks. As a unit, Las Vegas’ defense has combined for 17 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win

  • The Dolphins have lost each of their last three games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Dolphins’ last three games at Hard Rock Stadium.
  • The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games before a Division game.
  • The Raiders have covered the spread in each of their last six Week 11 games as road underdogs.

Miami Dolphins Recap

The Miami Dolphins come into this one looking to build on their 23-15 win over the Los Angeles Rams last time out. After this game, Miami will welcome the New England Patriots to town.

Dolphins Snap Three Game Skid

Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 1,155 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 72.4% passing while Tyler Huntley’s thrown for 377 yards, a touchdown, and an INT on 59.1% passing and Skylar Thompson has 187 passing yards as well. De’Von Achane has a team-high 457 rushing yards while Jaylen Wright has 211 rushing yards as well and Raheem Mostert has 214 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Tyreek Hill leads Miami’s receiving group with 37 grabs for 462 yards while Jaylen Waddle has 31 receptions for 367 yards. Achane and Jonnu Smith each have 300+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jordyn Brooks has a team-high73 total tackles including 41 solo tackles while Miami’s defense as a whole has combined for 14 sacks and 5 interceptions on the year.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

  • The Dolphins have won each of their last eight home games in November.
  • The Raiders have lost seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against AFC East opponents.

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

I’m on the Dolphins here. I get the case to be made for the Raiders as laying over a touchdown with Miami isn’t my first ideal situation, but these are two teams headed in different directions. Even when Miami was losing, the offense was still clicking, the defense just had to catch up which it did against the Rams. The Raiders haven’t had a whole lot go right and I think the Raiders are just running out of steam while the Dolphins think they can salvage what’s left of the season. Give me Miami here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Miami -6

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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