Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants prediction 10-8-23 NFL Picks
Miami Dolphins (3-1) vs New York Giants (1-3)
2023-10-08 13:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins -10.5 -- Over/Under: 49
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Giants and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in week 5 NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
New York Giants Betting Preview
The New York Giants need a win to rebound from a rough 1-3 start. The Giants have lost 5 of their last 7 road games. Daniel Jones is completing 68.7 percent of his passes for 765 yards, 2 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Darren Waller and Darius Slayton have combined for 285 receiving yards on 26 catches, while Jalin Hyatt has 4 receptions. The New York Giants ground game is averaging 94 yards per contest, and Jones leads the way with 173 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, New York is allowing 30.5 points and 341.5 yards per game. Bobby Okereke leads the New York Giants with 32 tackles, Kayvon Thibodeaux has 3 sacks and Xavier McKinney has 3 pass deflections.
New York Giants Team Facts
- The Giants have won each of their last three games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Giants have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as away underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Giants have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight Sunday games.
- The Giants have lost the first half in each of their last seven Week 5 games.
- Thirteen of the Giants’ last 15 games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Miami Dolphins look for their second home win to improve to 4-1 on the year. The Dolphins have won 7 of their last 9 home games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 71.3 percent of his passes for 1,306 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 680 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Braxton Berrios has 13 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 176.8 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 309 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 29.8 points and 374.5 yards per game. Jevon Holland leads the Miami Dolphins with 39 tackles, Andrew Van Ginkel has 3 sacks and Xavien Howard has 1 interception.
Miami Dolphins Team Facts
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last five October home games against NFC opponents.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games in October.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Dolphins’ last three Week 5 games.
- The Dolphins have lost the first half in seven of their last eight October games against NFC opponents.
- The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five home games against NFC opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dolphins rank 1st in the NFL in points per game this season (37.5)
- The Dolphins rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game this season (511.0)
- The Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game this season (11.5)
- The Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in interceptions this season (0)
Randy’s Pick
We have the best scoring offense in the Dolphins against the worst scoring offense in the Giants. Neither defense has been good through the first 4 games, so I’d consider looking at the over. However, I’m laying the chalk with the Dolphins. The Giants offensive line remains absolutely horrendous, and they’ll have less time to patch things up after playing last Monday. If anything, this is a chance for the Dolphins defense to build some confidence. The Giants offensive line couldn’t block me from getting in the backfield, let alone Bradley Chubb, Christian Wilkins and Andrew Van Ginkel. Daniel Jones has been sacked 22 times in 4 games. No, thanks. Give me the Dolphins in a beat down.
