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New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills prediction 10-22-23 NFL Picks

New England Patriots (1-5) vs Buffalo Bills (4-2)
2023-10-22 13:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New England Patriots +9 -- Over/Under: 43.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots meet in week 7 NFL action from Gillette Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

Bills Narrowly Escape Giants

The Buffalo Bills come into this game on the heels of a narrow 14-9 win over the New York Giants to improve to 4-2 on the year. Josh Allen has thrown for 1,576 yards, 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 71.7% passing while James Cook leads the Bills with 363 rushing yards. Stefon Diggs has a team-high 49 receptions for 620 yards and 5 touchdowns while Gabe Davis has 21 grabs for 341 yards and 4 scores. Three more Cowboys have at least 100 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Terrel Bernard has a team-high 57 total tackles with a pair of sacks and a pair of interceptions while Micah Hyde and Matt Milano also have a pair of INTs. Leonard Floyd has a team-high 6.5 sacks while AJ Epenesa and Ed Oliver each have 4 sacks on the year.

Buffalo Bills Team Facts

  • The Bills have won each of their last 11 games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Week 7 games.
  • The Bills have won the first half in seven of their last eight games against AFC East opponents.
  • The Bills have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games against AFC East opponents.
  • The Bills have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.

Patriots Continue To Struggle

The New England Patriots are in dire need of a win after falling to 1-5 on the year after a 21-17 loss to Las Vegas last time out. Mac Jones has thrown for 1,208 yards, 5 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 64.2% passing while Rhamondre Stevenson has a team-high 234 rushing yards with 2 TDs and Ezekiel Elliott has 193 rushing yards. Kendrick Bourne has a team-high 28 receptions for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns while five more Patriots have 100+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Kyle Dugger has a team-high 41 total tackles while the injured Matthew Judon has a team-high 4 sacks. As a unit, New England has combined for 12 sacks and 2 interceptions this season.

New England Patriots Team Facts

  • The Patriots have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Patriots have lost the first quarter in five of their last six Sunday games.
  • The Patriots have lost the first half in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • Each of the Patriots’ last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Patriots rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards this season (1456).
  • The Patriots rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage this season (20.0%).
  • The Bills rank T1st in the NFL in sacks this season (24.0).
  • The Bills are the only team in the NFL to rank top 5 for both interceptions and sacks this season.

Chris’ Pick

I get the case to be made for a home underdog in some spots, but this is not one of them. The New England Patriots could make the case for the worst team in the NFL or at least the worst offense and I have to think that Buffalo will be eager to bounce back after a disappointing showing against a below average Giants team. Give me the Bills in a beatdown.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Buffalo -9

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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NFL Picks

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills prediction 10-22-23 NFL Picks

New England Patriots (1-5) vs Buffalo Bills (4-2)
2023-10-22 13:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New England Patriots +9 -- Over/Under: 43.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots meet in week 7 NFL action from Gillette Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

Bills Narrowly Escape Giants

The Buffalo Bills come into this game on the heels of a narrow 14-9 win over the New York Giants to improve to 4-2 on the year. Josh Allen has thrown for 1,576 yards, 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 71.7% passing while James Cook leads the Bills with 363 rushing yards. Stefon Diggs has a team-high 49 receptions for 620 yards and 5 touchdowns while Gabe Davis has 21 grabs for 341 yards and 4 scores. Three more Cowboys have at least 100 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Terrel Bernard has a team-high 57 total tackles with a pair of sacks and a pair of interceptions while Micah Hyde and Matt Milano also have a pair of INTs. Leonard Floyd has a team-high 6.5 sacks while AJ Epenesa and Ed Oliver each have 4 sacks on the year.

Buffalo Bills Team Facts

  • The Bills have won each of their last 11 games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Week 7 games.
  • The Bills have won the first half in seven of their last eight games against AFC East opponents.
  • The Bills have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games against AFC East opponents.
  • The Bills have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.

Patriots Continue To Struggle

The New England Patriots are in dire need of a win after falling to 1-5 on the year after a 21-17 loss to Las Vegas last time out. Mac Jones has thrown for 1,208 yards, 5 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 64.2% passing while Rhamondre Stevenson has a team-high 234 rushing yards with 2 TDs and Ezekiel Elliott has 193 rushing yards. Kendrick Bourne has a team-high 28 receptions for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns while five more Patriots have 100+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Kyle Dugger has a team-high 41 total tackles while the injured Matthew Judon has a team-high 4 sacks. As a unit, New England has combined for 12 sacks and 2 interceptions this season.

New England Patriots Team Facts

  • The Patriots have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Patriots have lost the first quarter in five of their last six Sunday games.
  • The Patriots have lost the first half in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • Each of the Patriots’ last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Patriots rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards this season (1456).
  • The Patriots rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage this season (20.0%).
  • The Bills rank T1st in the NFL in sacks this season (24.0).
  • The Bills are the only team in the NFL to rank top 5 for both interceptions and sacks this season.

Chris’ Pick

I get the case to be made for a home underdog in some spots, but this is not one of them. The New England Patriots could make the case for the worst team in the NFL or at least the worst offense and I have to think that Buffalo will be eager to bounce back after a disappointing showing against a below average Giants team. Give me the Bills in a beatdown.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Buffalo -9

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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