New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders prediction 11-5-23 NFL Picks
New England Patriots (2-6) vs Washington Commanders (3-5)
2023-11-05 13:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New England Patriots -3 -- Over/Under: 39.5
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The Washington Commanders and New England Patriots meet Sunday in week 9 NFL action at Gillette Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders need a win after losing 5 of their last 6 games. The Commanders have split their last 4 road games. Sam Howell is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 2,146 yards, 13 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel have combined for 827 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jahan Dotson has 30 receptions. The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 85.9 yards per contest, and Brian Robinson Jr. leads the way with 384 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 28.5 points and 374.1 yards per game. Kamren Curl leads the Washington Commanders with 65 tackles, Montez Sweat has 6.5 sacks and Kendall Fuller has 2 interceptions.
Washington Commanders Team Facts
- The Commanders have won five of their last six November games as underdogs.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against AFC East opponents.
- The Commanders have lost the first half in eight of their last nine November games against AFC opponents.
- The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last six Week 9 games.
- Seven of the Commanders’ last eight Sunday games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots need a win after losing 4 of their last 5 games. The Patriots have lost 3 of their last 4 home games. Mac Jones is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 1,641 yards, 9 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Kendrick Bourne and Hunter Henry have combined for 644 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Demario Douglas has 19 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 84.4 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 307 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 26 points and 321.1 yards per game. Kyle Dugger leads the New England Patriots with 57 tackles, Matthew Judon has 4 sacks and Christian Gonzalez has 1 interception.
New England Patriots Team Facts
- The Patriots have won each of their last nine home games in November.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last six home games in November.
- The home team has won the first half in seven of the Patriots’ last eight Week 9 games.
- The Patriots have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as home favorites following a road loss.
- The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games as favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Patriots rank 31st in the NFL in points per game this season (14.8).
- The Patriots rank 31st in the NFL in time of possession per game this season (26:57).
- The Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.0).
- The Commanders rank 31st in the NFL in points allowed per game this season (28.5).
Randy’s Pick
I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams, especially in the favorite role, but somebody has to win. The New England Patriots are at home, they’re better coached, and their defense is probably where the edge lies. The Washington Commanders are 29th in total offense and 31st in scoring defense. Even Mac Jones and company should find some sort of success. The New England Patriots are 10th in total defense. Ugly, ugly game. It’s still the Pats and the small chalk or pass for me.