Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) vs. New Orleans Saints (2-2)
October 13, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Saints -2; Over/Under: +42
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Here’s a New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Saints vs Buccaneers pick.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
In this year’s opener, the Buccaneers took on the Washington Commanders and powered out a 37-20 victory. Tampa Bay beat the Detroit Lions in Week 2 then fell 26-7 versus the Broncos. Game four was a 33-16 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, though.
Last Thursday versus the Atlanta Falcons, the Buccaneers were outscored 10-3 in the fourth quarter and eventually fell 36-30 in overtime. QB Baker Mayfield threw for 180 yards and three scores, while Mike Evans caught two TDs among his five grabs for 62 yards.
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
Over on the Saints’ side, they opened up the year with a pair of big wins over the Panthers 47-10 and the Dallas Cowboys 44-19. Next came a pair of losses to drag the team back to 2-2, though. Those were versus the Falcons 26-24 and the Eagles 15-12.
On Monday versus the Chiefs, the Saints were down 16-7 heading into the fourth quarter. New Orleans ended up falling 26-13. QB Derek Carr logged 165 yards, two TDs, and one pick. Rashid Shaheed caught four balls for 86 yards and a score.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Buccaneers’ last seven games as road favorites following a loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Buccaneers and Saints have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between NFC South teams have gone OVER the total points line.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Taysom Hill has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances following a loss.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last 15 home appearances against division opponents.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 15 home appearances against division opponents.
- Alvin Kamara has scored the last touchdown in three of the Saints’ last four Sunday games as underdogs.
- Derek Carr has recorded 301+ passing yards in three of the Saints’ last four October games.
- Rashid Shaheed has recorded 53+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Saints as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Derek Carr has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 10 October appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Paulson Adebo is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Chris Godwin has recorded 79+ receiving yards in each of his last four regular-season appearances at Caesars Superdome.
- Mike Evans has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games following a road loss.
- Rachaad White has recorded 34+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last seven games against NFC South opponents.
- Rachaad White has recorded 78+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 10 games following a loss.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 275+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- Baker Mayfield has thrown three touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers’ last two October road games against NFC South opponents.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in four of the Buccaneers’ last five Sunday games.
- Heading into Week 6, Mike Evans ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (5) this season.
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
I’m going to lean toward the Saints. On Monday New Orleans posted just 220 total yards (174 passing) with 14 first downs and 4.3 yards per play. Carr came out of the game late due to an oblique injury, capping a rough night out for the Saints. We’ll have to see how things work out in that regard. If backup Jake Haener has to step in (which seems pretty likely), I’m probably still going to lean toward New Orleans but probably staying away.
As for Tampa Bay, they gave up a truckload of offense to the Falcons in their last outing. Atlanta mustered 550 total yards (447 passing), 6.8 yards per play, and 28 first downs. The good news is that the Bucs’ own offense did fairly well outside of a lost fumble and a tepid 173 passing yards. The Saints should have some opportunities here, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a close, high-scoring matchup.
