New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction 10-1-23 NFL Picks
New York Jets (1-2) vs Kansas City Chiefs (2-1)
2023-10-01 20:20:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Jets +9.5 -- Over/Under: 42.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kansas City Chiefs and the New York Jets meet in week 4 NFL action from MetLife Stadium on this week’s installment of Sunday Night Football.
Chiefs Beat Up Bears
The Kansas City Chiefs beat up on the Chicago Bears by a final count of 41-10 for back-to-back wins to improve to 2-1 on the year. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 803 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 65.5% passing while Isiah Pacheco has 155 rushing yards and a touchdown. Justin Watson leads KC’s receiving group with 158 receiving yards while Skyy Moore and Rashee Rice each have 100+ receiving yards. Travis Kelce also has a team-high 11 receptions for 95 yards and 2 touchdowns. On defense, Trent McDuffie has a team-high 16 total tackles while Mike Danna and Chris Jones each have 2.5 sacks and George Karlaftis has a pair of sacks as well.
Kansas City Chiefs Team Facts
The Chiefs have won each of their last seven Sunday games.
The Chiefs have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games in October.
The favorites have won the first half in each of the Chiefs’ last nine games.
The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
The Chiefs have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
Patrick Mahomes II ranked 1st in the NFL in Passing Yards (5250) last season
Jets Stymied By New England
The New York Jets scored 10 points and lost for the second straight week after a 15-10 loss to New England last time out. Zach Wilson has thrown for 467 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 52.4% passing while Breece Hall has 154 rushing yards to lead the Jets on the ground. Garrett Wilson has a team-high 12 receptions for 165 yards and 2 touchdowns while Allen Lazard has 108 receiving yards. On defense, Quincy Williams and CJ Mosley each have a team-high 26 total tackles while Quinton Jefferson has a pair of sacks.
New York Jets Team Facts
The Jets have lost each of their last seven Sunday games.
The Jets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
The Jets have won the first quarter in three of their last four October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
The Jets have lost the first half in 11 of their last 12 games as home underdogs following a loss.
Each of the Jets’ last nine games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
Dalvin Cook ranked 6th in the NFL in Rushing Yards (1173) last season
Matchup/League Facts
The Jets ranked 1st in the AFC East for total yards allowed per game last season (311.1)
The Jets ranked 1st in the AFC for total yards allowed per game last season (311.1)
The Chiefs ranked 1st in the NFL in points per game (29.2) last season
The Chiefs ranked 1st in the NFL in yards per game (413.6) last season
Chris’ Pick
I’m rolling with the Chiefs here. The Jets have a solid defense, but as much as that’s helpful, it’s still only half the battle as you have to be able to put points on the board and Zach Wilson doesn’t look to be the answer and I’m not sure bringing in Trevor Siemian is the answer either. The Chiefs are just the far better team in this matchup and I look for them to win on the road by double-digits. Lay the points with Kansas City here.