NY Jets vs Denver Broncos Prediction 9-29-24 NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a NY Jets vs Denver Broncos prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 29th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup.

NY Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets are 2-1 this season after they defeated New England by a score of 24-3 in their last game. New York led 14-0 in the second quarter and they were able to coast to the victory in the second half. The Jets outgained New England by a total of 400-139, won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0, and went 10-15 on third down in the game. Aaron Rodgers threw for 281 yards and two touchdowns, while Braelon Allen rushed for 55 yards on 11 carries. 

New York lost to San Francisco by a score of 32-19 in Week 1 but did bounce back with a win over the Titans by a score of 24-17 in Week 2. The New York offense has scored 22.3 points per game with 209.7 passing yards and 100.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 17.3 points per game this season. The Jets have gone 56.8% on third down and 0-1 on fourth down through three games. Aaron Rodgers has completed 67.4% of his passes for 624 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception, while Garrett Wilson has caught 15 passes for 150 yards and one score. 

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos are 1-2 this year after they defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 26-7 last week. Denver jumped out to a 17-0 lead in the first half and they didn’t allow any points in the second half for the double-digit win. The Broncos outgained Tampa Bay by a total of 352-223, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-13 on third down in the game. Bo Nix threw for 216 yards on 25 completions, while Tyler Badie rushed for 70 yards on nine carries. 

Denver lost their first two games against Seattle by a score of 26-20 and Pittsburgh by a score of 13-6 prior to the week three win. The Denver offense has scored 17.3 points per game with 193 passing yards and 99.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 15.3 points per game this season. The Broncos have gone 25.6% on third down and 4-6 on fourth down so far this season. Bo Nix has completed 62.8% of his passes for 600 yards and four interceptions, while Josh Reynolds has caught 11 passes for 174 yards.

Why the Jets will beat the Broncos

• The Broncos have lost each of their last 10 road games before a Division game.
• The Jets have won five of their last six games at MetLife Stadium following a Division win.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a win.
• The Jets have covered the spread in four of their last five games at MetLife Stadium following a Division win.
• The Jets have won the first half in seven of their last eight September games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Jets have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Broncos have lost the first quarter in each of their last four September road games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Jets’ last seven Week 4 games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Broncos’ last seven games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Jets’ last six games.
• Allen Lazard has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 281+ passing yards in five of his last six September appearances as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of his last four Sunday appearances at MetLife Stadium.
• Aaron Rodgers has thrown two or more touchdowns in 11 of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
• Allen Lazard ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in five of the Broncos’ last six road games against AFC opponents.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 24+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last five games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Devaughn Vele ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Jets rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (56.8%) this season.
• The Jets rank T1st in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (2.0) this season.
• The Broncos rank 2nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (133.3) this season.
• The Broncos rank T2nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (2) this season.

NY Jets vs Denver Broncos Prediction 

The Jets have won two games in a row and they will look to carry the momentum from last week’s blowout win over the Patriots into this matchup. Aaron Rodgers continues to get better as he sees more snaps this season and they have scored 24 points in their last two games. Denver did get their first victory of the season last week against Tampa Bay, but I think Bo Nix is going to struggle against the New York defense. I expect this to be a lower-scoring game, but I like the Jets to put this game away in the second half. Take the Jets to cover at home.