Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Prediction 11-14-24 NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, November 14th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup.

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Eagles are 7-2 this year after they defeated Dallas by a score of 34-6 in their last game. Philadelphia led 14-6 at halftime and they rolled to an easy victory in the second half. The Eagles outgained Dallas by a total of 348-146, won the turnover battle 5-2, and went 4-11 on third down in the game. Jalen Hurts threw for 202 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while AJ Brown caught five passes for 109 yards. 

Prior to that game, the Eagles won four games in a row against Jacksonville, Cincinnati, New York, and Cleveland. The Philly offense has scored 25.9 points per game with 197.8 passing yards and 176.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 17.9 points per game this season. Jalen Hurts has completed 69.8% of his passes for 1,976 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Saquon Barkley has rushed for 991 yards and six scores. 

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders are 7-3 this season after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 28-27 in their last game. Washington led 17-14 at halftime and 27-21 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed the only points in the final quarter for the loss. The Commanders were outgained by a total of 312-242, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 5-14 on third down in the game. Jayden Daniels threw for 202 yards, while Austin Ekeler rushed for 44 yards and two scores. 

Prior to that loss, the Commanders won three games in a row against the Giants, Bears, and Panthers. The Washington offense has scored 29 points per game with 223.5 passing yards and 153.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.7 points per game this season. Jayden Daniels has completed 68.7% of his passes for 2,147 yards, nine touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Terry McLaurin has caught 47 passes for 711 yards and six scores. 

Why the Commanders will cover

• Dorance Armstrong Jr.’s team has won each of its last nine games with him playing against Saquon Barkley.
• The Eagles have lost three of their last four games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Lincoln Financial Field.
• The Commanders have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games in November.
• The Eagles have lost the first half in each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games at Lincoln Financial Field.
• The Commanders have won the first quarter in four of their last five road games in November.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Eagles’ last nine games at Lincoln Financial Field following a road win has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Commanders’ last seven November road games against NFC East opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Jalen Hurts has scored two touchdowns in three of the Eagles’ last four November games.
• Jalen Hurts has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of the Eagles’ last eight November games as favorites.
• Jalen Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Eagles’ last six games following a win.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 56+ rushing yards in five of the Eagles’ last six November games as favorites.
• Saquon Barkley has recorded 126+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC East opponents.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 319+ passing yards in three of the Eagles’ last four games against the Commanders.
• Jahan Dotson has recorded 10+ receiving yards in 13 of his 14 previous appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Jalen Hurts has scored the last touchdown in three of the Eagles’ last four games following a win.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 22+ completions in three of the Eagles’ last four games against the Commanders.
• James Bradberry is just one away from 20 career interceptions.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Jayden Daniels has thrown two touchdowns in three of the Commanders’ last four road games.
• Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Commanders’ last four road games.
• Zach Ertz has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of his last eight November appearances at Lincoln Financial Field.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 233+ passing yards in each of the Commanders’ last three games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 44+ rushing yards in five of the Commanders’ last six games against NFC opponents.
• Austin Ekeler has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Zach Ertz is just one away from 50 career touchdowns (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 11, the Eagles rank 2nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (274.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Eagles rank 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (176.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (91.7%) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Commanders rank 31st in the NFL in total punt yards (1202) this season.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Prediction

Philadelphia rolls into this matchup on a five-game winning streak and they have scored at least 28 points in four straight games. The Eagles have been one of the best teams in the NFL this season and they will be at home for this game. Washington has won three of their last four games but did lose a heartbreaker to Pittsburgh last week. I think both of these teams are very good and I expect a lot of points to be scored, but I will take the points with Washington in a game that could come down to the last possession.