Steelers vs Colts Prediction 11/2/25 NFL Picks Today

The Indianapolis Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action from Acrisure Stadium. Here’s a Steelers vs Colts prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Steelers vs Colts pick.

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

The Colts have had a pretty good year so far—even if a few games have been relative close calls. Indy kicked things off with three straight wins over the Miami Dolphins, Denver Broncos and Tennessee Titans, then took a 27-20 loss on the road versus the LA Rams. Indianapolis came back with wins over the Las Vegas Raiders, Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Chargers in the next trio. In the win over the Chargers, Indy gave up 445 total yards (391 passing), 6.0 yards per play, 25 first downs and 8-of-16 on third-down tries but the offense kept the team ahead on 401 total yards, 24 first downs and no turnovers.

In their latest outing at home versus the Tennessee Titans, the Colts jumped out to a 17-7 lead by the break. Following 14 more points in the third quarter, Indy was well on their way to a 38-14 blowout home win. QB Daniel Jones finished with 272 yards and three scores on 21-of-29 passing, and top rusher Jonathan Taylor had a great day with 12 totes for 153 yards and two scores. Michael Pittman had eight catches for 95 yards and a touchdown as the team’s leading receiver in the winning effort.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

Over on the Steelers’ side, they’ve had a wild ride so far. Pitt beat the lowly Jets in the opener before falling to the Seattle Seahawks in game two. Wins over the New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings and Cleveland Browns came next ahead of a loss to the rival Cincinnati Bengals on the road 33-31. In that Thursday matchup the Steelers surrendered 470 total yards, 328 pass yards, 27 first downs, 6.5 yards per play and 7-of-14 on third-down tries. The offense responded with 396 yards, 19 first downs, 7-of-10 on third downs and two picks in the defeat.

Matched up against the Green Bay Packers last Sunday evening, Pittsburgh held a 16-14 edge going into the final quarter. The Steelers were stunned on a 21-6 deficit from there however, ultimately leading to a 35-25 home defeat in the end. QB Aaron Rodgers finished with a 24-of-36 line for 219 yards and a pair of scores while lead rusher Jaylen Warren had 13 carries for 62 yards. Roman Wilson added four catches for 74 yards and a touchdown in the loss.

Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won each of their last nine November games against AFC South opponents.
• The Colts have lost eight of their last nine road games against AFC North opponents.
• The Colts have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games following a Division win.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last four November games against AFC South opponents.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have won the first quarter in four of their last five games.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last five Sunday games.

Why the Indianapolis Colts will win

• The Colts have won each of their last eight games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have lost each of their last five games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last six games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Colts have won the first quarter in each of their last six road games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in each of their last seven home games against AFC South opponents.
• The Colts have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight road games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Colts’ last eight games against AFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last five games between the Colts and Steelers have gone OVER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Jonnu Smith has recorded 40+ receiving yards in each of his last four November appearances against AFC opponents.
• Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 22+ rushing yards in four of his last five November home appearances.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 227+ passing yards in six of his seven previous November appearances against AFC South opponents.
• D.K. Metcalf has scored a touchdown in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 28+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 23+ completions in six of his last seven Week 9 appearances.
• Heading into Week 9, Jaylen Warren ranks T1st in the NFL in broken tackles (15) this season.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan Taylor has scored two or more touchdowns in five of the Colts’ last six games against teams on a losing streak.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Colts’ last seven games against teams on a losing streak.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 132+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last three games.
• Michael Pittman Jr. has recorded 61+ receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last seven games against AFC North opponents.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 17+ rushing yards in 29 of his last 37 Sunday appearances.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in each of his three previous road appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 262+ passing yards in three of the Colts’ last four games following a win.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 21+ completions in 10 of his last 11 appearances following a win.
• Heading into Week 9, Jonathan Taylor ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (850) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
• Colts – seven different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
• Colts – three different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.

Steelers vs Colts Prediction

I’ll go with the Colts here, but you could make a good case either way. Indianapolis beat up on a struggling Titans team in a home victory last weekend to the tune of 420 total yards, 8.1 yards per play and 21 first downs with no turnovers. The 3-of-9 on third-down tries was about the only thing to complain about. The defense held the Titans in check with 20 first downs and 6-of-15 on third-down conversion attempts allowed, not to mention a helpful interception. The Colts’ offense has been on fire scoring-wise during this four-game win streak; they’ve hit 31 or more points in every one of those outings.

As for Pittsburgh, they went a dismal 1-of-10 on third downs in their loss to the Pack over the weekend, but still had a lead heading into the final quarter. The defense ended up surrendering 454 total yards, 360 pass yards and 22 first downs but it was a team-wide defeat. That makes consecutive close losses for the Steelers in the last two games. I like this one to be a close fight as well, but I’ll take Indy on a slim cover.