Saints vs Falcons Prediction 11/23/25 NFL Picks Today

Randy Chambers

Atlanta Falcons (3-7) vs. New Orleans Saints (2-8)
November 23, 2025 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Saints -1.5; Over/Under: 39.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action at Caesars Superdome. Here’s a Saints vs Falcons Prediction. This article will include a Saints vs Falcons Pick.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

The Atlanta Falcons lost to the Colts and Panthers, and they play the Jets next. The Atlanta Falcons have lost 5 straight games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 1,982 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Bijan Robinson and Drake London have combined for 1,316 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Kyle Pitts has 47 receptions.

The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 119.9 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 783 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 23.9 points and 326.5 yards per game. Kaden Elliss leads the Atlanta Falcons with 65 tackles, Zach Harrison has 4.5 sacks and Xavier Watts has 2 interceptions.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

The New Orleans Saints lost to the Rams, beat the Panthers, and they play the Dolphins next. The New Orleans Saints have lost 12 of their last 14 games. Spencer Rattler is completing 68 percent of his passes for 1,586 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave have combined for 1,163 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Juwan Johnson has 43 receptions.

The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 92.8 yards per contest, and Alvin Kamara leads the way with 460 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 25 points and 317.5 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 91 tackles, Carl Granderson has 4.5 sacks and Kool-Aid McKinstry has 2 interceptions.

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

The Saints have won each of their last six home games against opponents on a losing streak.
The Falcons have lost four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games following an overtime loss.
The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Saints’ last six games at Caesars Superdome.
The favorites have won the first half in 10 of the Saints’ last 11 Week 12 games.
The Falcons have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

The Saints have lost each of their last three November games as favorites.
The Falcons have won three of their last four November games as road underdogs against NFC South opponents.
The Saints have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a road win.
The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the Falcons’ last six games.
The Saints have lost the first half in six of their last seven home games.
The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
The Falcons have won the first quarter in each of their last three games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Saints’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Seven of the Falcons’ last eight November road games against NFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Four of the last five games between NFC South teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

Brandin Cooks has scored a touchdown in seven of his last eight November appearances with his team as a home favorite.
Taysom Hill has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of his last 11 appearances with the Saints as favorites against NFC South opponents.
Spencer Rattler has recorded 225+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances.
Brandin Cooks has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC South opponents.
Brandin Cooks has recorded 31+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with the Saints as favorites following a win.
Heading into Week 12, Kool-Aid McKinstry has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Giants, Week 5).

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

Bijan Robinson has scored two touchdowns in each of the Falcons’ last three November games against NFC South opponents.
Bijan Robinson has recorded 86+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last five November games against NFC opponents.
Kirk Cousins has recorded 273+ passing yards in six of his seven previous regular season appearances against the Saints.
Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in six of the Falcons’ last seven games against NFC South opponents.
Darnell Mooney has recorded 37+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of the Falcons’ last nine road games against NFC opponents.
Darnell Mooney has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances against division opponents.
Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in four of his last five regular season appearances against the Saints.
Heading into Week 12, Drake London is the only player in the NFL to record 100+ receiving yards in three or more consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 12, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (35.0%) this season.
Heading into Week 12, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (38.5%) this season.
Falcons – 14 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 12.
Heading into Week 12, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (21.7 yards) this season.