San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12/11/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and San Francisco 49ers meet Sunday in week 14 NFL action at Levi’s Stadium. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 of their last 4 games. The San Francisco 49ers have won 5 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost 3 straight road games. Tom Brady is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 3,332 yards, 16 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have combined for 1,409 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Leonard Fournette has 49 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 73.3 yards per contest, and Fournette leads the way with 511 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 18.3 points and 313.8 yards per game. Devin White leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 94 tackles, Vita Vea has 6.5 sacks and Jamel Dean has 2 interceptions.

The San Francisco 49ers have won 3 straight home games. Brock Purdy is completing 63 percent of his passes for 276 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel have combined for 1,267 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while George Kittle has 38 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 124.1 yards per contest, and Christian McCaffrey leads the way with 307 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 15.8 points and 283.9 yards per game. Dre Greenlaw leads the San Francisco 49ers with 88 tackles, Nick Bosa has 14.5 sacks and Talanoa Hufanga has 4 interceptions.

The Buccaneers are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 games in December and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The 49ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games overall. The under is 14-6 in 49ers last 20 games overall.

The San Francisco 49ers are going to get the benefit of the doubt here, especially at home, but we’re getting free points with a Bucs team that’s finding ways to finish games and still has a highly motivated Brady at QB. As talented and great as the 49ers are, especially on defense, they’re giving the keys of the offense to a seventh round rookie making his first ever start. The Bucs defense is also pretty good, ranked eighth in total defense and fifth in scoring defense. There’s value with the road dog. Give me the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.