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Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction 10/11/26 NFL Picks Today

San Francisco 49ers (4-0) vs. Seattle Seahawks (3-1)
October 11, 2026 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Seahawks -3; Over/Under: 45.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks meet in week 5 NFL action from Lumen Field on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks prediction.

San Francisco 49ers Recap

The San Francisco 49ers come into this game looking to add on to their 24-14 win over Denver last time out to sit at 4-0 this season. After this game, the 49ers will head home for a game against the Commanders.

49ers Looking To Stay Unbeaten

Brock Purdy has thrown for 1,007 yards, 11 touchdowns and an interception on 69.9% passing while Christian McCaffrey leads San Francisco in rushing with 218 yards and 4 touchdowns through 4 games this season. Brock Purdy sits behind McCaffrey on the ground with 122 yards. George Kittle leads the 49ers in receiving with 244 yards and 16 catches along with 4 touchdowns, while Mike Evans trails with 213 yards and 17 catches along with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Fred Warner has a team-high 40 tackles while San Francisco’s defense as a whole has combined for 6 sacks and an interception through 4 games this season.

Seattle Seahawks Recap

The Seattle Seahawks come into this game looking to add on to their 30-23 win over the Chargers last time out to sit at 3-1 this season. After this game, Seattle will head on the road for a game against the Denver Broncos.

Seahawks Looking To Defend Home Field

Sam Darnold has thrown for 560 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.2% passing while Emanuel Wilson leads Seattle in rushing with 190 yards and a touchdown through 4 games this season. Jadarian Price sits behind Wilson on the ground with 119 yards. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the Seahawks in receiving with 481 yards and 32 catches along with 6 touchdowns, while Cooper Kupp trails with 114 yards and 9 catches along with a touchdown. On defense, Ernest Jones IV has a team-high 41 tackles while Seattle’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 6 interceptions through 4 games this season.

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks Betting Trends: Week 5

 

Why the Seattle Seahawks will win

  • The Seahawks have won each of their last 10 games played on the West Coast.
  • The 49ers have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Seahawks have covered the spread in each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The 49ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Seahawks have won the first quarter in each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The 49ers have lost the first half in each of their last eight Sunday games as road underdogs.
  • The Seahawks have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 10 games as favorites against NFC West opponents.

Why the San Francisco 49ers will win

  • The 49ers have won each of their last eight Sunday games.
  • The Seahawks have lost each of their last two October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 5 games.
  • The 49ers have covered the spread in each of their last four Sunday road games.
  • The 49ers have won the first half in each of their last four October games against NFC West opponents.
  • The 49ers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight Sunday games.
  • The 49ers have won the first quarter in three of their last four games at Lumen Field against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the 49ers’ last eight road games without Brock Purdy have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Seahawks’ last five October games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Facts

  • Rashid Shaheed has scored a touchdown in four of his last five October appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Cooper Kupp has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 October home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Drew Lock has recorded 208+ passing yards in eight of his last 10 home appearances as a starter.
  • Rashid Shaheed has recorded 20+ rushing yards in three of the Seahawks’ last four home games against NFC West opponents.
  • Cooper Kupp has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 October home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Drew Lock has recorded 21+ completions in six of his last eight appearances as a starter.
  • Heading into Week 5, Drew Lock has recorded the equal-longest completion in a single game this season (82 yards vs Cardinals, Week 2).

San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Facts

  • Deebo Samuel has scored the first touchdown in each of his three previous road appearances against the Seahawks.
  • Deebo Samuel has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog on the West Coast.
  • Deebo Samuel has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with the 49ers as underdogs against NFC West opponents.
  • Brock Purdy has recorded 244+ passing yards in each of his last six October appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Deebo Samuel has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC West opponents.
  • Deebo Samuel has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with the 49ers as underdogs against NFC West opponents.
  • Heading into Week 5, Brock Purdy ranks T1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Seahawks – eight different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
  • Seahawks – five different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
  • Heading into Week 5, the 49ers rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (57.5%) this season.
  • Heading into Week 5, the 49ers rank 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (84.6%) this season.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Prediction

I’m on the Seahawks here. If they’re fully healthy, the 49ers have a top-5 team in the NFL, but despite the 4-0 start, they’re incredibly banged up and it’s a matchup like this where that lack of health will come back to bite them in the rear. I think Seattle gets to Purdy and the Niners and Seattle gets it done at home here. Give me Seattle.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Seattle -3

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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