Atlanta Falcons (8-7) vs. Washington Commanders (10-5)
December 29, 2024 8:20 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Commanders -4.5; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Falcons and the Washington Commanders meet Sunday in NFL action from Northwest Stadium. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Commanders vs Falcons pick.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Falcons got off to a 6-3 start this year, taking out the Eagles, Saints, Buccaneers, Panthers, Buccaneers again, and Cowboys. After losses to the Saints, Broncos, Chargers, and Vikings in the next four, Atlanta stopped the bleeding with a win over the Raiders.
Matched up against the Giants on Sunday, Atlanta scored 17 points in the second quarter and 14 in the third on the way to a blowout win 34-7. Michael Penix had 202 pass yards and a pick, but Bijan Robinson did most of the offensive work on 22 carries for 94 yards and two scores.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
Over on the Commanders’ side, they took out the Giants, Bengals, Cardinals, Browns, Panthers, Bears, and Giants again during a nice 7-2 start this year. Washington lost to the Steelers, Eagles, and Cowboys before a pair of wins over the Titans and Saints.
In their game with the Eagles on Sunday the Commanders were in trouble on a 27-14 deficit going into the fourth quarter. Washington scored another 22 points from there and won 36-33, though. The Commanders’ Jayden Daniels had 258 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions during a wild game.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Falcons’ last 10 games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Commanders’ last eight December games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last four Sunday games at Northwest Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Terry McLaurin has scored two touchdowns in each of the Commanders’ last three games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Brian Robinson has recorded 87+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Commanders’ last four December games as favorites.
- Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Commanders’ last five December games against NFC opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 44+ rushing yards in each of the Commanders’ last five home games against NFC opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 226+ passing yards in four of the Commanders’ last five games following a home win.
- Zach Ertz has recorded 32+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 December appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Jayden Daniels has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Commanders’ last two games played on the East Coast.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Commanders’ last five games.
- Heading into Week 17, Jayden Daniels has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (5 vs Eagles, Week 16).
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 92+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last four games.
- Kyle Pitts has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of his last eight road appearances on the East Coast.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 271+ passing yards in seven of his last eight December appearances against NFC opponents.
- Darnell Mooney has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last four road games against NFC opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last five appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in eight of his last nine December appearances against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 17, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most completions in a single game this season (42 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).
Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
I’ll go with the Commanders. It’s a pretty tight line though, so you could make a case either way. Washington posted an epic comeback win over a strong Eagles team in their last game, mustering 368 total yards and 23 first downs. The five turnovers were a major blemish though, and helped lead to a pretty crazy game. Washington has won three straight (after a three-game losing streak in November), with their last two victories coming by a combined four points.
As for Atlanta, they rolled right past the flailing Giants on Sunday with 329 yards and 22 first downs alongside a couple of defensive TDs. It was a good return to form on the scoreboard after posting fewer than 18 points in four of the previous five outings. Still, if the Commanders can buckle down on D and retain some of that offensive electricity this Sunday I think Washington will be in a promising cover position down the stretch. Should be a fun one to watch.
