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Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys prediction 1-7-24 NFL Picks

Washington Commanders (4-12) vs Dallas Cowboys (11-5)
2024-01-07 16:25:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Commanders +13.5 -- Over/Under: 50
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Commanders meet in week 18 NFL action from FedExField on Sunday afternoon. Can the Cowboys finish the season on a high note? OR will the Commanders be out to play spoiler? Let’s dive in and find out with our Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction.

Dallas Cowboys Team Preview

The Dallas Cowboys come into this game looking to have a chance to clinch the division after a 20-19 win over Detroit last time out. Dak Prescott has thrown for 4,237 yards, 32 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 68.4% passing while Tony Pollard has a team-high 935 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. CeeDee Lamb has a team-high 122 receptions for 1,651 yards and 10 touchdowns while Jake Ferguson has 692 receiving yards with 5 TDs and Brandin Cooks has 618 receiving yards with 7 TDs as well on the year. On defense, Damone Clark has a team-high 105 total tackles while Micah Parsons has a team-high 13 sacks and DaRon Bland has a team-high 8 interceptions.

Dallas Cowboys Team Facts

The favorites have won each of the Cowboys’ last 13 games.
The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 road games following a win.
The Cowboys have won the first quarter in each of their last six games against NFC opponents.
The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in 14 of their last 16 Sunday games as favorites.
The Cowboys have won the first half in eight of their last nine games as favorites.

Washington Commanders Team Preview

The Washington Commanders come into this game looking to play spoiler, on a seven-game losing streak after a 27-10 loss to San Francisco last time out. Sam Howell has thrown for 3,793 yards, 20 touchdowns and 19 interceptions on 63.1% passing. Brian Robinson Jr. has a team-high 708 rushing yards with 5 touchdowns and Terry McLaurin has a team-high 946 receiving yards with 73 receptions with 4 touchdowns while Curtis Samuel and Jahan Dotson each have 500+ receiving yards with 4 TDs apiece and Logan Thomas has 487 receiving yards with 4 TDs as well. On defense, Kamren Curl has a team-high 115 total tackles while Cody Barton has 113 total tackles. Montez Sweat has a team-high 6.5 sacks while Jonathan Allen has 5.5 sacks and Casey Toohill has 5 sacks as well. Kendall Fuller also has a pair of interceptions this season.

Washington Commanders Team Facts

The Commanders have lost each of their last seven games.
The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at FedExField.
The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last seven games following a loss.
The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five home games against the Cowboys.
The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games following a loss.

Matchup/League Facts

The Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game this season (30.0).
The Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game this season (385.8).
The Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in average punt return this season (5.5 yards).
The Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game this season (5.9).

Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction

I’m backing Dallas here. The number is ugly, but the Cowboys need to win to have any hope of the NFC East crown and playing at home which is huge, and I don’t think Dallas wants to leave it to chance. The Commanders stink defensively and don’t even look like they have any interest in even playing spoiler here. Give me Dallas in this one big.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Dallas -13.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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