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Week 4: Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos 10/2/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Denver Broncos (2-1) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (0-3)
October 2, 2022 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Las Vegas Raiders -1.5 / Denver Broncos +1.5; Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Las Vegas Raiders and Denver Broncos clash Sunday in a week 4 NFL contest at Allegiant Stadium. The Denver Broncos look to build on their 2-1 start to the season. The Las Vegas Raiders look to prevent their first 0-4 start since the 2014 season.

The Denver Broncos have lost their last 4 road games. Russell Wilson is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 743 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy have combined for 421 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Javonte Williams has 15 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 117.7 yards per contest, and Williams leads the way with 176 yards on 37 carries. Defensively, Denver is allowing 12 points and 251.3 yards per game. Alex Singleton leads the Denver Broncos with 17 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 3 sacks and Jonas Griffith has 1 interception.

The Las Vegas Raiders have lost 5 of their last 8 home games. Derek Carr is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 850 yards, 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Mack Hollins and Davante Adams have combined for 429 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Darren Waller has 13 receptions. The Las Vegas Raiders ground game is averaging 80 yards per contest, and Josh Jacobs leads the way with 192 yards on 42 carries. Defensively, Las Vegas is allowing 25.7 points and 376.3 yards per game. Divine Deablo leads the Las Vegas Raiders with 30 tackles, Maxx Crosby has 2 sacks and Amik Robertson has 1 interception.

The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 20-8 in Broncos last 28 games overall. The under is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 games overall. The Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Las Vegas and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

This line is a little weird to me. Yes, the Denver Broncos have issues offensively and Wilson is still settling in, but they’ve managed to win 2 of their 3 games without much offense. Things should improve with more time as there’s talent on the roster. The Las Vegas Raiders haven’t had that tough of a schedule and are still searching for their first win. The Raiders have no running game to speak of, and the dense has had issues against the pass. Those offensive concerns aren’t going to improve against this Broncos defense. Give me the free points, as I can argue the Broncos are the better team here overall and should win outright.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Denver Broncos +1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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