Anaheim Ducks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 1-5-25 NHL Picks
Tampa Bay Lightning (20-14-2) vs. Anaheim Ducks (16-18-4)
January 5, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Anaheim Ducks +165 / Tampa Bay Lightning -200; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Anaheim Ducks meet Sunday in NHL action at the Honda Center. Here’s an Anaheim Ducks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include an Anaheim Ducks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Sharks and Kings, and they play the Hurricanes, Bruins, and Devils next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.86 goals per game and are scoring on 26.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 23 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 37 assists and Jake Guentzel has 94 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 81.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 65 goals on 746 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 25 goals on 250 shots.
Anaheim Ducks Betting Preview
The Anaheim Ducks beat the Jets, lost to the Oilers, and they play the Flames, Blues, and Flyers next. The Anaheim Ducks are averaging 2.5 goals per game and are scoring 13 percent of their power play opportunities. Troy Terry leads Anaheim with 13 goals, Ryan Strome has 14 assists and Frank Vatrano has 127 shots on goal. Defensively, the Anaheim Ducks are allowing 3.05 goals per game and are killing 74.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. John Gibson has given up 36 goals on 382 shots faced, while Lukas Dostal has allowed 65 goals on 751 shots.
Why the Anaheim Ducks will win
- The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a road loss.
- The Ducks have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Ducks have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine Sunday night games.
- The home team has won the third period in five of the last six games between the Lightning and Ducks.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won eight of their last nine games against the Ducks.
- The Ducks have lost 10 of their last 11 home games following a road loss.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight road games.
- The Ducks have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games at Honda Center following a road loss.
- The Ducks have lost the third period in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a road loss.
Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts
- Troy Terry has recorded at least one point in each of the Ducks’ last seven Sunday night games.
- Troy Terry has recorded at least one assist in each of the Ducks’ last six Sunday home games.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Brandon Hagel has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Brayden Point has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight road appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Anaheim Ducks rank 31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.50).
- The Anaheim Ducks rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.04%).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.78).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.93%).
Anaheim Ducks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
The Tampa Bay Lightning are the rightful favorite simply because they’re the better team. It’s not close. However, the Lightning are riding a three-game losing streak, where the offense has been stuck in the mud. The Lightning have scored two or fewer goals in four of their last six games. The Lightning are also just 9-8-1 on the road this season. Basically, the Lightning are having a rough week and if there’s a spot you can get them, it’s on the road. The Anaheim Ducks aren’t good, but there’s value with them at this price on their home ice. I’ll take it.