Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction 3/8/25 NHL Picks Today

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Colorado Avalanche meet Saturday in NHL action from the Ball Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have not met yet this season, but Toronto won the last meeting, in Colorado, back on February 24^th, 2024, by a final score of 4-3. The win made it four wins in a row for the road team in this head-to-head matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss to the Vegas Golden Knights last time out, sitting at 38-21-3 on the year. After this game, Toronto will carry on the road to take on Utah.

Maple Leafs Drop Back-To-Back Games

Mitch Marner has a team-high 77 points with 19 goals and a team-high 58 assists while William Nylander has 63 points with a team-high 35 goals. John Tavares has 53 points with 24 goals and 29 assists and Auston Matthews has 53 points with 23 goals and 30 assists. Matthew Knies has 41 points with 24 goals while Morgan Rielly has 32 points with 7 goals and 25 assists as well on the year. Anthony Stolarz has gone 13-5-3 on the year in goal for Toronto with a 2.21 GAA and a .925 save percentage while Joseph Woll is 21-12 with a 2.78 GAA and a .905 save percentage and Dennis Hildeby has a 3-3 record, a 3.33 GAA and an .878 save percentage.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Avalanche have lost eight of their last 12 games as favorites following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as underdogs.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Matthew Knies ranks 1st amongst qualified Eastern Conference players for shooting percentage (23.3%) this season.

Colorado Avalanche Recap

The Colorado Avalanche come into this game fresh off of a 7-3 win over San Jose last time out to sit at 37-24-2 on the year. After this game, Colorado will take on the Chicago Blackhawks at home.

Avalanche Win 4 In A Row

Nathan MacKinnon has a team-high 98 points including 25 goals and a team-high 73 assists while Cale Makar has 74 points with 24 goals and 50 assists. Casey Mittelstadt has 34 points with 11 goals and 23 assists. Artturi Lehkonen also has 39 points with 26 goals while Devon Toews has 30 points with 23 assists as well. Mackenzie Blackwood is 17-7-2 with a 2.15 GAA and a .921 save percentage while Scott Wedgewood has gone 6-4 with a 2.23 GAA and a .916 save percentage in goal for Colorado on the year.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last six games at Ball Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Avalanche’s last six games at Ball Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in 16 of the Avalanche’s last 17 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last seven home games.
• Gabriel Landeskog has scored a goal in six of his last eight home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Points (98) this season.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in 16 of the Avalanche’s last 17 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last seven home games.
• Gabriel Landeskog has scored a goal in six of his last eight home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Points (98) this season.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in 16 of the Avalanche’s last 17 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last seven home games.
• Gabriel Landeskog has scored a goal in six of his last eight home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Points (98) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six night games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche Prediction

I’m on the Avalanche here. I get the case to be mad for the Maple Leafs as an underdog, as it’s always tempting to get the Leafs at this kind of price. However, the Avalanche are rolling and Toronto just took one on the chin against Vegas. These are the kinds of matchups Toronto has to win at some point if this team is going to be a threat come playoff time, but I think that the Avalanche get it done here and add to Toronto’s misery in this one.