Bruins vs Capitals Prediction 3/14/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Bruins vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 14^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 73 points this season with a 33-27-7 record, and are 33-33 ATS and 30-34 in over/under. They have a 20-11-3 home record and a 13-16-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 2-1 road win over the Sabres, and their previous three games were a 4-1 road loss to the Flyers, a 7-3 home win over the Flames, and a 3-1 road loss to the Bruins.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.12 goals per game and are scoring 16.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.91 goals per game and are killing 79.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals with 51 points and 24 goals, while Dylan Strome leads the team in assists with 34. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 22-19-4 record, with 2.44 GAA and .911 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 9-7-3 record, with 3.29 GAA and .886 SV%.

Boston Bruins Preview

The Bruins have 78 points this season with a 36-23-6 record, and are 41-23 ATS and 35-28 in over/under. They have a 25-8-1 home record and a 11-14-5 road record and are sitting 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home loss to the Sharks, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home overtime win over the Kings, a 5-4 road overtime loss to the Penguins, and a 3-1 home win over the Capitals.

Offensively, the Bruins are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring 24.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.11 goals per game and are killing 77.2% of their opponent’s power plays.

David Pastrnak leads the Bruins with 78 points and 54 assists, while Morgan Geekie leads the team in goals with 34. Jeremy Swayman is the starting goalie for the Bruins, and he has a 25-14-3 record, with 2.79 GAA and .905 SV%. Joonas Korpisalo is the backup goalie and he has a 11-9-3 record, with 3.28 GAA and .892 SV%.

Boston Bruins @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: March 14, 2026

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The home team has won 15 of the Bruins’ last 16 games.
• The Bruins have lost each of their last seven road games.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last six home games against the Bruins following a road win.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a home loss.
• The Bruins have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games at Capital One Arena when leading after the first period.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Capitals have lost each of their last seven Saturday games as favorites.
• The Bruins have won nine of their last 10 day games following a loss.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 day games following a loss.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven Saturday games as favorites.
• The Capitals have lost the first period in seven of their last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Bruins’ last nine road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Bruins and Capitals have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 11 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last six day games.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Leonard has scored a goal in four of the Capitals’ last five games.
• Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in each of his last eight appearances with the Capitals as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Ryan Leonard has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in four of the Bruins’ last five games as underdogs against the Capitals.
• Charlie McAvoy has recorded at least one assist in five of the Bruins’ last six road games.
• Morgan Geekie ranks T1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (22.7%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.50%).
• The Washington Capitals rank T29th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (9).
• The Boston Bruins rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.62%).
• The Boston Bruins rank 31st in the league for power play goals against this season (53).

Bruins vs Capitals Prediction

The Bruins have won both previous meetings against the Capitals this season, at home by 3-1 and on the road by 3-1 as well but both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Bruins vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -140 home favorites. The Capitals have been the better team this season but they have been bad on the road, while the Caps have been playing their best hockey at home. Boston has been up and down lately and have dropped their last seven road games, so I don’t trust them at this spot. The Caps are coming off a nice road victory against the hottest team of the league in the Sabres so I like them to keep rolling today and win this one at home.