Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks Prediction 10/5/26 NHL Picks Today

The San Jose Sharks and the Dallas Stars meet Monday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Jose Sharks vs. Dallas Stars prediction.

San Jose Sharks Recap

The San Jose Sharks come into this game looking to add on to their 5-4 OT win over the Los Angeles Kings last time out to sit at 2-0 this season. After this game, the Sharks will head on the road again for a game against the St. Louis Blues.

Sharks Win Back-To-Back Games To Start Year

Macklin Celebrini leads the San Jose Sharks through two games this season with a team-high 5 points and 5 assists. Igor Chernyshov and Will Smith have each recorded 3 points on 2 goals and an assist, while Luca Cagnoni and Tyler Toffoli have each contributed 2 points with a goal and an assist. Ivar Stenberg, Jacob Trouba, and Michael Misa have each chipped in an assist for 1 point on the year, while Mason Marchment, Kiefer Sherwood, and Nolan Allan have each scored a goal to round out San Jose’s scoring. In net, Yaroslav Askarov has posted a 2-0 record with a 3.32 GAA and an .885 save percentage after stopping 54 of 61 shots for the Sharks up to this point in the season.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to shake off their 2-1 loss at the hands of the Nashville Predators last time out to sit at 0-2 this season. After this game, the Stars will head on the road for a game against the Buffalo Sabres.

Stars Looking For First W Of Season

Miro Heiskanen leads the Dallas Stars through two games this season with 1 point on a team-high 1 goal, tied for the team lead in points with Wyatt Johnston and Mikko Rantanen. Johnston and Rantanen have each provided 1 assist to round out all of Dallas’s point producers so far. In net, Jake Oettinger has posted an 0-1 record with a 2.06 GAA and a .909 save percentage after stopping 20 of 22 shots, while Casey DeSmith has logged an 0-1 record with a 2.06 GAA and a .923 save percentage with 24 saves on 26 shots for the Stars up to this point in the season.

San Jose Sharks @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: October 5, 2026

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won 12 of their last 13 home games against the Sharks.
• The Sharks have lost each of their last six games at American Airlines Center following a win.
• The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games at American Airlines Center following a win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games against the Sharks following a road loss.
• The Sharks have lost the second period in each of their last five games at American Airlines Center following a win.

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Sharks’ last six games.
• The Stars have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Sharks have covered the puck line in each of their last nine Monday games as underdogs.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 home games following a road loss.
• The Sharks have won the second period in each of their last four games as underdogs.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Sharks’ last seven games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six home games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last six games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight home games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Sharks.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• Wyatt Johnston ranked 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (27) last season.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

• Igor Chernyshov has scored at least one goal in four of the Sharks’ last five games against Western Conference opponents.
• Mason Marchment has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Macklin Celebrini ranked 4th in the league for Points (115) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars ranked 2nd in the league for goals against per game last season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars ranked 2nd in the league in power play percentage last season (28.63%).
• The San Jose Sharks ranked 30th in the league for goals against per game last season (3.54).
• The San Jose Sharks ranked 26th in the league in penalty kill percentage last season (76.42%).

San Jose Sharks vs. Dallas Stars Prediction

I’m on the Sharks in this one. I just think the price is right for the Sharks given that I’m high on their upside this season and through the first two games I’ve been left impressed with San Jose and unimpressed with the Stars especially offensively. I just think this is a value play to get a heat check on where these teams are at this point in the year. Give me the Sharks.