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Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 3/10/26 NHL Picks Today

Vegas Golden Knights (29-21-14) vs. Dallas Stars (39-14-10)
March 10, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -155 / Vegas Golden Knights +130; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars meet Tuesday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Vegas Golden Knights vs. Dallas Stars prediction.

Vegas Golden Knights Recap

The Vegas Golden Knights come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-2 loss at the hands of Edmonton last time out to sit at 29-21-14 this season. After this game, Vegas will head home for a game against Pittsburgh.

Golden Knights Lose 5 Of Last 6

Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 71 points coming on 22 goals and 49 assists. Mitch Marner has 65 points with 18 goals and 47 assists while Pavel Dorofeyev has 51 points with 30 goals and Ivan Barbashev has 45 points with 19 goals and 26 assists. Tomas Hertl’s added 54 points with 24 goals and 30 assists. Mark Stone also has 60 points with 21 goals and 39 assists. In goal for Vegas so far this season, Adin Hill is 6-5-3 with a 3.40 GAA and an .859 save percentage while Akira Schmid is 16-9-6 with a 2.61 GAA and an .893 save percentage this season. Carter Hart is also 5-3-3 with a 3.28 GAA and an .871 save percentage so far this season.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

  • The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Golden Knights and Stars.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Golden Knights’ last 14 games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven home games after coming off overtime.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in seven of his eight previous road appearances against the Stars.
  • Mark Stone has scored a goal in seven of his last eight appearances against Central Division opponents.
  • Pavel Dorofeyev ranks T2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (16) this season.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over Chicago last time out to sit at 39-14-9 this season. After this game, Dallas will take on Edmonton at home.

Stars Get Nice Bounce Back

Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 74 points including a team-high 34 goals and 40 assists while Mikko Rantanen has 69 points with 20 goals and 49 assists this season. Wyatt Johnston has 67 points with 34 goals and 33 assists and Miro Heiskanen has 53 points with 44 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 44 points with 15 goals and 29 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 25-10-5 with a 2.70 GAA and an .897 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 14-4-5 with a 2.28 GAA and a .912 save percentage so far this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Golden Knights have lost each of their last eight games following a home loss.
  • The Stars have won each of their last seven games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games following a home loss.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five home games against the Golden Knights.
  • Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Stars’ last nine games as home favorites.
  • Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (21) this season.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Stars’ last six games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Golden Knights’ last four road games following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Dallas Stars Prediction

I’m on the Stars here. Dallas for me is just the far better team with far more trustworthy goaltending in this matchup, and I think that the Stars continue their hot run of form at home in this one. Vegas has the talent in their forward lines, but I think that their goalie room is hiding behind the name of the Golden Knights as this goalie group in Sin City isn’t very good in my opinion. I’ll roll with Dallas at home here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Dallas Stars -155

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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