Calgary Flames (28-23-9) vs. Philadelphia Flyers (27-26-8)
March 4, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Flyers -142 / Calgary Flames 120; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Flyers vs Flames prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 4 at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Calgary Flames Betting Preview
The Calgary Flames (28-23-9, 30-30 ATS) are going through a rough patch after losing six of the previous eight games. The Flames are currently on a three-game losing streak during which they managed to score just one goal. After a surprising win over the Capitals, which opened a six-game road trip for the Flames, they lost to the Lightning, Panthers, and Hurricanes. Calgary is 4th in the Pacific Division Standings with 65 points, 13 behind the leaders Vegas Golden Knights.
The Flames average 2.53 goals per game this year (32nd), while they allow 2.92 GPG (14th). Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau lead the team with 44 points apiece. MacKenzie Weegar contributes 33 points (6 G and 27 A), while Matt Coronato has 31 points (15 G and 16 A).
Dustin Wolf (20-12-4) will likely take his place in the cage for the Flames on Tuesday against the Flyers. The 23-year-old is allowing 2.58 goals per game this year with a .913 SV% and two shutouts.
Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Flyers (27-26-8, 32-29 ATS) successfully put a bad stretch of results behind them with four wins in the first five games. The Flyers were on a five-game losing skid but defeated the Penguins (twice), Oilers, and Jets, while the lone loss came to the Penguins. Philadelphia is 6th in the Metropolitan Division Standings with 62 points, four ahead of the bottom-placed Penguins and 24 behind the leaders Capitals.
The Flyers score 2.89 goals per game on average (18th), while they concede 3.26 GPG (26th). This season, Travis Konecny leads the team with 63 points (22 G and 41 A). Matvei Michkov has 44 points (19 G and 25 A), while Owen Tippett chips in with 35 points (18 G and 17 A).
Samuel Ersson (18-10-4) is expected to start for the Flyers at the goal on Tuesday against the Flames. The 25-year-old is allowing 2.83 goals per game this year with a .893 SV% and two shutouts.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Flyers’ last six home games following a shootout win has gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Flames’ last six games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last seven games following an overtime win.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Flames’ last seven games after coming off overtime.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.25%).
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.26).
- The Calgary Flames rank T31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.53).
- The Calgary Flames rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.89%).
Flames vs Flyers Prediction
Calgary won seven of the last ten H2H encounters, including the first meeting of this season, but there is no way I am backing the Flames. At least not in their current state. The Flames have the least efficient offense in the NHL, and teh fact they have a 21-38-1 Over/Under record plays a major role in my decision to opt for Under in this game. Each of their last five road games produced a maximum of five goals. Calgary also hasn’t allowed more than three goals in that span, which is what I am looking for here. Go with a low-scoring affair.
