Jets vs Stars Prediction 5/7/25 NHL Picks Today

The Dallas Stars and the Winnipeg Jets meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Canada Life Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Jets vs Stars Prediction.

Matchup History

The Winnipeg Jets won three of the four meetings between these two teams in the regular season, with Winnipeg winning at home 4-1 on November 9^th, 2024 before Dallas got their revenge in a 3-1 home win on December 1^st, 2024. Winnipeg picked up another 4-1 win at home on March 14^th, 2025 before picking up the road team’s first win this season with a 4-0 win in Dallas on April 10^th, 2025.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars booked their spot in the second round after picking up a 4-2 win over the Colorado Avalanche in game seven of their series last time out.

Stars Win First Round Series For Third Straight Season

Matt Duchene has 82 points including 30 goals along with 52 assists. Jason Robertson has 80 points with 35 goals and 45 assists while Roope Hintz has 67 points with 29 goals and Jamie Benn has 49 points with 16 goals and 33 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 71 points with 33 goals and 38 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov’s added 40 points split between 20 goals and 20 assists and Thomas Harley has 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 36-18-4 with a 2.59 GAA and a .909 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 14-8-2 with a 2.63 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The favorites have won nine of the Jets’ last 10 games at Canada Life Centre.
• The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games following a win.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Stars’ last three games at Canada Life Centre.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine playoff appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last three playoff games against Western Conference opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight playoff appearances with his team as a road favorite against Western Conference opponents.
• Evgenii Dadonov has recorded two assists against the Jets this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Winnipeg Jets Recap

The Winnipeg Jets booked their spot in the second round after pulling a 4-3 OT win out of the fire in their series against the St. Louis Blues in game seven of their series last time out.

Jets Pick Up First Series Win Since 2020-21

Kyle Connor leads the Jets with 97 points including 41 goals and 56 assists. Nikolaj Ehlers has 63 points with 24 goals and 39 assists while Mark Scheifele also has 87 points with 39 goals and 48 assists. Josh Morrissey has 62 points with 48 assists, while Neal Pionk has 39 points with 29 assists. Gabe Vilardi has 61 points with 27 goals and 34 assists as well on the year. Cole Perfetti also has 50 points with 18 goals and 32 assists as well on the year. In goal for Winnipeg, Connor Hellebuyck is 45-12-3 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage on the year while Eric Comrie is 9-9-1 with a 2.36 GAA and a .914 save percentage.

Why the Winnipeg Jets will win

• The Jets have won each of their last 11 home games against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have lost each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Jets have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following an overtime win.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Connor has scored at least one goal in each of the Jets’ last five Game 1s of a playoff series.
• Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances at Canada Life Centre.
• Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one assist in 10 of his last 11 home appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Jets’ last game.
• Morgan Barron has scored two goals against the Stars this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last nine games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last eight games between the Stars and Jets have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last five games against the Jets following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Jets vs Stars Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Dallas Stars here. Connor Hellebuyck has been lights out at home for the most part this season, but you could make a strong argument that they’re lucky to be in the position they’re in. Sure, playoff hockey is sometimes about creating your own luck and getting the bounces late in the year, but the Stars put themselves in this spot a lot more than the Jets did, in my opinion. I think Jake Oettinger’s been the better goalie to this point. Give me the Stars to steal home ice and draw first blood here.