Lightning vs Flyers Prediction 11/24/25 NHL Picks Today

The Philadelphia Flyers and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Monday in NHL action at the Benchmark International Arena. Here’s a Lightning vs Flyers Prediction. This article will include a Lightning vs Flyers Pick.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Blues and Deivls, and they will play the Panthers next. The Flyers have won 3 their last 4 games.

The Philadelphia Flyers are averaging 2.8 goals per game and are scoring 17.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Trevor Zegras leads Philadelphia with 7 goals, Travis Konecny has 12 assists, and Owen Tippett has 50 shots on goal. Defensively, the Philadelphia Flyers are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 85 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dan Vladar has allowed 31 goals on 351 shots faced, and Samuel Ersson has given up 21 goals on 136 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Capitals and Oilers, and they play the Flames next. The Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.14 goals per game and are scoring on 17.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads Tampa Bay with 12 goals, Victor Hedman has 12 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 58 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.86 goals per game and are killing 87.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 37 goals on 396 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 20 goals on 187 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Flyers have lost each of their last nine road games following a home win.
• The Lightning have won each of their last seven home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The home team has covered the puck line in four of the last five games between the Flyers and Lightning.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Flyers have lost the second period in each of their last four night games at Benchmark International Arena following a win.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Flyers have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Lightning have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 14 home games.
• The Lightning have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last five games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eleven of the Lightning’s last 14 home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five home games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances against the Flyers at Benchmark International Arena.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 appearances against the Flyers at Benchmark International Arena.
• Anthony Cirelli ranks T1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (28.6%) this season.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Tyson Foerster has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances with the Flyers as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Travis Konecny has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flyers’ last seven games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Travis Konecny has recorded at least one point in each of the Flyers’ last seven games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Cam York has recorded 14 career hits against the Lightning – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (87.32%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.24).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.00%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.80).

Lightning vs Flyers Prediction

The Lightning are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home more times than not, but the value is with the Flyers and the plus money. The Flyers have won 3 of their last 4 games and have earned points in 7 of their last 8 games. The Flyers are playing competitive hockey and have cashed some nice underdog tickets in the process. Yes, the Lightning are in decent form as well, but they’re bearable with an offense that’s often hit or miss. I’ll take a stab with the plus money.