Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction 4/11/25 NHL Picks Today

The Detroit Red Wings and Tampa Bay Lightning meet on Friday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Here’s a Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction. This article will include a Lightning vs Red Wings Pick.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings lost to the Canadiens and Panthers, and they play the Stars, Devils, and Maple Leafs next. The Red Wings have lost seven of their last 11 games.

The Detroit Red Wings are averaging 2.78 goals per game and are scoring 27.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex DeBrincat leads Detroit with 36 goals, Lucas Raymond has 49 assists, and Dylan Larkin has 228 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 3.15 goals per game and are killing 69.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Cam Talbot has given up 121 goals on 1,247 shots faced, while Alex Lyon has allowed 68 goals on 654 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Rangers, lost to the Maple Leafs, and they play the Sabres, Panthers, and Rangers next. The Lighting have lost three of their last four games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.55 goals per game and are scoring on 26.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 41 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 82 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 218 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.6 goals per game and are killing 81.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 131 goals on 1,666 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 50 goals on 507 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Red Wings have lost each of their last nine road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The home team has won each of the Red Wings’ last six games.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in eight of their last 10 night games at Amalie Arena.
• The Lightning have won the third period in 10 of their last 11 night games at Amalie Arena.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have won three of the Lightning’s last four games.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games against the Lightning following a road loss.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have won the third period in five of their last six games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Lightning vs Red Wings Injury Report

Jake Guentzel and Luke Glendening are questionable for the Lightning.

The Detroit Red Wings will be without Erik Gustafsson and Elmer Soderblom.

Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction

The Red Wings haven’t been able to sustain success lately, and they’re coming off losses to the Panthers and Habs where they were outscored 2-8. It’s hard seeing the Red Wings find their footing on the road where they’ve lost 19 times. The Lightning are great at home, where they’re 27-8-3 in the season. The Lightning are also in the thick of the Atlantic race. While the Red Wings are still competing for a wild card spot, their recent efforts don’t give much confidence. I’ll roll with the Lightning and lay the PL to shave down the juice.