Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction 12/13/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Oilers prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, December 13th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 14-11-5 this year after they lost to San Jose in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Toronto led 2-0 in the second period, but they couldn’t hold the lead late in the game and lost in overtime. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 32-30, won 60.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Joshua and Matthews, while Hildeby stopped 29 out of 32 shots, which was a .906 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto defeated the Lightning by a score of 2-0, but lost to the Canadiens by a score of 2-1 before that. The Maple Leafs have lost two of their last three games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 33 points. Toronto has scored 3.30 goals per game and they have allowed 3.17 goals against per game, while also going 14.5% on the power play and 82.1% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 11 goals and 23 assists, while John Tavares has added 13 goals and 17 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Dennis Hildeby, who is 2-2-3 with a 2.25 goals against average and a .933 save percentage this year. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 14-11-6 this season after they defeated Detroit by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Edmonton had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they scored the last two goals to seal the victory. The Oilers out shot Detroit by a total of 29-28, won 54.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from Hyman (3) and Ekholm, while Skinner stopped 27 out of 28 shots, which was a .964 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Edmonton lost to the Sabres by a score of 4-3, but did beat the Jets by a score of 6-2 before that. The Oilers have won three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the Pacific standings with 34 points. Edmonton has scored 3.32 goals per game and they have allowed 3.39 goals against per game, while also going 32.1% on the power play and 80.2% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with 16 goals and 32 assists, while Leon Draisaitl has added 17 goals and 23 assists. The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Calvin Pickard, who is 3-3-2 with a 4.04 goals against average and an .851 save percentage this season. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
• The Oilers have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last 16 games as home underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 17 of their last 18 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs after coming off overtime.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost nine of their last 11 games after coming off overtime.
• The Oilers have won eight of their last 10 road games following a home win.
• The road team has covered the puck line in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The favorites have won the third period in seven of the last eight games between the Oilers and Maple Leafs.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Oilers’ last 11 road games following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five home games against the Oilers.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Oilers’ last six games as favorites against the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in six of his last seven home appearances against the Oilers.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances against the Oilers.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances against the Oilers.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Jack Roslovic has scored a goal in each of his last six appearances with the Oilers as favorites.
• Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last 13 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last six road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (14.47%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.30).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (32.05%).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.32).

Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction 

Edmonton comes into this contest after winning three of their last four games and they have scored at least four goals in all three of those victories. The Oilers are 6-8-3 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 9-4-5 at home. Toronto is 3-0-2 in their last five, but they have scored two goals or fewer in three straight. The Leafs have gone under 6.5 goals in seven of their last eight games and they are defending very well right now. Take the under in this one.