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Maple Leafs vs Wild Prediction 1/19/26 NHL Picks Today

Minnesota Wild (27-13-9) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (24-16-8)
January 19, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -122 / Minnesota Wild 102; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Wild prediction for this NHL game on Monday, January 19th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 24-16-8 this year after they defeated Winnipeg in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Toronto trailed 3-1 in the third period, but they managed to tie the game and get the win in overtime. The Maple Leafs out shot Winnipeg by a total of 37-30, won 61.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Domi, Matthews, McMann, and Ekman-Larsson, while Hildeby stopped 27 out of 30 shots, which was a .900 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Golden Knights by a score of 6-5 and the Mammoth by a score of 6-1. The Maple Leafs have lost two of their last three games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 56 points. Toronto has scored 3.38 goals per game and they have allowed 3.27 goals against per game, while also going 16.9% on the power play and 84.3% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander (questionable) has led Toronto with 17 goals and 31 assists, while John Tavares has added 17 goals and 25 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 11-4-3 with a 2.73 goals against average and a .914 save percentage this year. 

Minnesota Wild Betting Preview

The Minnesota Wild are 27-13-9 this season after they defeated Buffalo in overtime by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Minnesota led 3-1 in the second period, but they needed a goal late in the period to tie the game, before winning overtime. The Wild out shot Buffalo by a total of 35-24, won 55.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Minnesota got goals from Foligno, Hartman, Tarasenko, Zuccarello, and Hughes, while Gustavsson stopped 20 out of 24 shots, which was an .833 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Minnesota lost to the Jets by a score of 6-2 and the Devils by a score of 5-2. The Wild have lost three of their last four games and they are currently third in the Central standings with 63 points. Minnesota has scored 3.10 goals per game and they have allowed 2.80 goals against per game, while also going 22.4% on the power play and 76.7% on the penalty kill this season. Kirill Kaprizov has led Minnesota with 25 goals and 30 assists, while Brock Faber has added 10 goals and 18 assists. The projected starting goalie for Minnesota is Filip Gustavsson, who is 15-9-5 with a 2.55 goals against average and a .910 save percentage this season. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven home games.
  • The Wild have lost five of their last six night games.
  • The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last five home games.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

  • The Wild have won each of their last five games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last six games as favorites after coming off overtime.
  • The Wild have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 14 games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Wild have won the first period in each of their last five night games following an overtime win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Wild’s last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Wild and Maple Leafs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in nine of the Wild’s last 10 games following an overtime win.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against the Wild.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
  • Nicolas Roy has recorded 11 career assists against the Wild – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan Hartman has scored a goal in each of the Wild’s last three road games.
  • Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine appearances against the Maple Leafs.
  • Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.25%).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.38).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.67%).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 7th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.80).

Maple Leafs vs Wild Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they are dealing with some key injuries. The Wild are 14-7-3 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 16-5-5 at home. Toronto has dropped two of their last three and they have gone to overtime in three of their last four. The Maple Leafs have scored at least four goals in four of their last five games, while Minnesota has gone over 6.5 goals in four straight. Take the over in this one. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 6.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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