Toronto Maple Leafs (28-27-12) vs. Minnesota Wild (38-17-12)
March 15, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Wild -250 / Toronto Maple Leafs +205; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Minnesota Wild meet Sunday in NHL action from the Grand Casino Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Wild vs. Maple Leafs prediction.
Toronto Maple Leafs Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of Buffalo last time out to slip to 28-27-12 this season. After this game, Toronto will head home for a game against the New York Islanders.
Maple Leafs Drop 9 Of Last 10
William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 63 points on 22 goals and a team-high 40 assists while John Tavares has 54 points with 23 goals and 31 assists and Matthew Knies has 56 points with 17 goals and 39 assists. Auston Matthews has 52 points with 26 goals and 26 assists and Morgan Rielly has 32 points with 24 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 35 points with 27 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 7-9-3 with a 3.40 GAA and an .891 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs, while Joseph Woll is 14-11-5 with a 3.13 GAA and a .905 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Wild’s last five games at Grand Casino Arena.
- The Wild have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home loss.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 17 of their last 19 games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances against the Wild.
- Matthew Knies has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Maple Leafs’ last 12 games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Minnesota Wild Recap
The Minnesota Wild come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-2 loss to the Rangers last time out to sit at 38-17-12 this season. After this game, Minnesota will head on the road for a game against the Chicago Blackhawks.
Wild Drop Back-To-Back Games
Going into the game against the Rangers, Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild in scoring with 79 points, including 38 goals and a team-high 41 assists, while Matt Boldy has 74 points, including 37 goals and 37 assists. Marcus Johansson has 40 points with 13 goals and 27 assists. Joel Eriksson Ek has 44 points with 17 goals and 27 assists, while Brock Faber has 43 points with 14 goals and 29 assists. Filip Gustavsson is 24-10-6 with a 2.46 GAA and a .914 save percentage, while Jesper Wallstedt is 14-6-6 with a 2.77 GAA and a .913 save percentage in goal for Minnesota this season.
Why the Minnesota Wild will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last six road games.
- The favorites have won each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
- The favorites have covered the puck line in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against opponents on a losing streak.
Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts
- Kirill Kaprizov has scored at least one goal in seven of the Wild’s last eight home games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of the Wild’s last 12 games as favorites.
- Kirill Kaprizov has scored the last goal in three of the Wild’s last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Total Goals Facts
- Eleven of the Maple Leafs’ last 12 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Wild’s last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
Wild vs Maple Leafs Prediction
I’m on Minnesota here. I just think that the Wild are the better team and it feels more and more, as each day goes by, that Toronto is resigned to their fate that they’re probably missing the postseason. Minnesota is one of the most balanced teams in the league that doesn’t get a whole lot of attention, and I think the Wild get the job done here. Give me the Wild.
