Panthers vs Lightning Prediction 4/28/25 NHL Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers meet Monday in the NHL playoffs Game 4 at the Amerant Bank Arena. Here’s a Panthers vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Panthers vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning look to even up the series at 2-2, with the road team winning every game. The Lighting have lost five of their last eight road games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 2.33 goals per game and are scoring on 7.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads Tampa Bay with 2 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 4 assists, and Brayden Point has 9 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 70 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 9 goals on 73 shots faced.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers look for a win to take control of this series while snagging a 3-1 lead. The Panthers have lost 8 of their last 13 games.

The Florida Panthers are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring 30 percent of their power-play opportunities. Matthew Tkachuk leads Florida with 3 goals, Aleksander Barkov has 3 assists, and Sam Bennett has 8 shots on goal. Defensively, the Florida Panthers are allowing 2.33 goals per game and are killing 92.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 6 goals on 62 shots faced.

Why the Florida Panthers will win

• The Panthers have won each of their last seven night games at Amerant Bank Arena following a loss.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last six games as underdogs following a road win.
• The Panthers have covered the puck line in four of their last five night games following a loss.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• In each of the last four games between the Lightning and Panthers, the team leading after the second period has won the third period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Panthers’ last five games.
• The Panthers have lost two of their last three games as favorites following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 11 of the Lightning’s last 12 games at Amerant Bank Arena.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 15 games as favorites.
• The Lightning have won the third period in eight of their last nine games against the Panthers when leading after the second period.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of his last eight appearances with the Panthers as favorites.
• Aaron Ekblad has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances in night games.
• Matthew Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances with the Panthers as favorites.
• Aleksander Barkov ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (4) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight playoff appearances with his team as an underdog against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight playoff appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last six playoff games at Amerant Bank Arena.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks 1st in the league for Points (121) this season.

Panthers vs Lightning Injury Report

The Panthers don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Lightning will be without Oliver Bjorkstrand due to a lower-body injury.

Panthers vs Lightning Prediction

The road team has won all three games in this series, and has won five of the last seven games between the Lightning and Panthers overall. So, you can make a strong case for the Lightning. The problem is, I still believe the Panthers are the better team and the team to beat in the East until proven otherwise. If that’s the case, I have a hard time seeing the Panthers lose back-to-back games at home, where they’ve racked up 27 wins this season. The Lightning have seen 19 of their 29 loses come on the road. I’m going to lay the cheap price with the Panthers at home.