Penguins vs Flyers Prediction 12/1/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Flyers Prediction for this NHL game on Monday, December 1^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers have 31 points this season with a 14-7-3 record, and are 15-9 ATS and 13-11 in over/under. They have an 8-3-2 home record and a 6-4-1 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-3 road win over the Devils.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.83 goals per game and are scoring 17.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 85.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Trevor Zegras is the point leader for Philadelphia with 24 points, the top scorer with 9 goals and the team’s leading passer with 15 assists. Daniel Vladař is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 10-4-1 record, with 2.43 GAA and .912 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 4-2-2 record, with 3.09 GAA and .859 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 29 points this season with a 12-7-5 record, and are 17-7 ATS and 11-11 in over/under. They have a 6-4-2 home record and a 6-3-3 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 7-2 home loss to the Maple Leafs.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.08 goals per game and are scoring 30.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 84.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby is the point leader for Pittsburgh with 27 points and the top scorer with 16 goals, while Evgeni Malkin is the team’s leading passer with 18 assists. Arturs Silovs is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 4-4-4 record, with 3.00 GAA and .898 SV%. Tristan Jarry is the backup goalie and he has a 7-2-0 record, with 2.74 GAA and .905 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: December 1, 2025

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Flyers have won each of their last nine games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Penguins have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Flyers’ last five games.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have won the third period in 12 of their last 13 games at Xfinity Mobile Arena when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last five games following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the last seven games between the Penguins and Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last seven road games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Zegras has scored at least one goal in four of the Flyers’ last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Trevor Zegras has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Trevor Zegras has recorded an assist in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Justin Brazeau has scored a goal in each of his three previous road appearances against the Flyers.
• Bryan Rust has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Anthony Mantha has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances in night games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.14%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (5).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.36%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.85%).

Penguins vs Flyers Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Flyers won 3-2 in a shootout at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Penguins. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Penguins vs Flyers Prediction, the Flyers are coming as -140 home favorites. The Flyers have more points than the Pens and more home wins than they have on the road. They have been in very good form lately, as they are 5-1 in their last 6 games, while the Penguins are just 3-6 in their last 9 games and 1-4 in their last 5 on the road. With the Flyers having a better penalty kill, the better goaltender and the home court advantage, I expect them to get the job done today. Take the Flyers on the moneyline at home.