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Rangers vs Lightning Prediction 10/13/26 NHL Picks Today

Tampa Bay Lightning (4-1-0) vs. NY Rangers (5-2-0)
October 13, 2026 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: NY Rangers 136 / Tampa Bay Lightning -162; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Rangers meet Tuesday in NHL action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Rangers vs. Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Rangers vs. Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Wild and Islanders, and they play the Kraken next. The Lightning have won 4 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.2 goals per game and are scoring on 10 percent of their power-play opportunities. Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay with 4 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 7 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 15 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.4 goals per game and are killing 72.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 9 goals on 83 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has allowed 2 goals on 36 shots.

New York Rangers Betting Preview

The New York Rangers beat the Canucks, lost to the Capitals, and play the Devils next. The Rangers have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The New York Rangers are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring 26.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Alexis Lafreniere leads New York with 5 goals, Mika Zibanejad has 6 assists, and Pavel Dorofeyev has 21 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Rangers are allowing 1.86 goals per game and are killing 90 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Igor Shesterkin has allowed 8 goals on 109 shots faced, and Dylan Garand has given up 3 goals on 55 shots.

Why the New York Rangers will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Lightning and Rangers.
  • The Lightning have lost each of their last five games at Madison Square Garden when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Rangers have covered the puck line in 11 of their last 12 home games.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 road games.
  • The Rangers have won the third period in 11 of their last 12 home games.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last four games.
  • The Rangers have lost five of their last six night games at Madison Square Garden against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Rangers’ last four games.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Lightning have won the third period in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Lightning’s last five road games following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Rangers’ last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Ten of the last 11 Tuesday games at Madison Square Garden have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last four road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last three games as home underdogs.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Mika Zibanejad has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven appearances with the Rangers as home underdogs against the Lightning.
  • Mika Zibanejad has recorded at least one assist in each of the Rangers’ last eight home games.
  • Adam Fox has recorded two assists against the Lightning this season – most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in seven of his last nine road appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last four games.
  • Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Rangers rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (1.86).
  • The New York Rangers rank T6th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.32%).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.40).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (10.00%).

Rangers vs Lightning Injury Report

The Rangers will be without Igor Shesterkin, Joe Veleno, Joonas Korpisalo, Aidan Thompson, and Adam Sykora.

The Lightning will be without Yanni Gourde and Dominic James.

Rangers vs Lightning Prediction

Two teams are playing fabulous hockey, and you can make a case for either side. Oddsmakers obviously believe more in the Lightning and their consistency. However, the value is with the Rangers and the plus money. The Rangers are at home, and they already beat the Lightning this month, 5-1. The Rangers are aggressive defensively, and they’ve smoked teams at home up to this point. I’ll grab the plus money with the Rangers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Rangers 136

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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